TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd547…5ed7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST3036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$27.72
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33.6
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33.6
Sharks vs. Flyersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Golden Knights vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$39.2
Blues vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$22
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+185.7%+$84.5
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Stars vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Jets vs. Sabresbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Canadiens vs. Avalanchebacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$37.2
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24.04
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$66.56
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+59.3%+$35.66
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$33.72
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+107.5%+$70.08
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$126.59
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+212.5%+$68
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+64.4%+$60.53
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$108.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+270.4%+$109.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+86.2%+$60.2
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+98%+$98.99
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+417.2%+$129.07
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$82.5
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+222.6%+$53.92
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$48.92
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Spread: Chargers (-10.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$83.6
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Spread: Dolphins (-6.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37.94
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$58.3
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Spread: LAR (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+118.1%+$745.54
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+257.1%+$77.07
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+103.8%+$143.81
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63%+$34.8
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$37.6
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$47.3
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43.5
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34.1
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+102%+$101
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$87.78
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$33.5
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$23.4
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+33.3%+$5
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41.88
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.7
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$57.6
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+156%+$87.74
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$37.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+137.3%+$90.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$98.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-61.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$58.42
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.67
LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$42.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
LoL: Japan vs Team Liquid (BO1)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$66
LoL: Team Liquid vs T1 (BO1)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+81.3%+$94.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan Wolverines vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$19.87
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$43.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.