NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb14d6a6928ad4e21ccc7c4cbe1aab77c8a7901d191d6ab6611da24bed6537c21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Wild, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $727,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $726,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Flames | 48c | 377,396$180,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196,424.81 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Wild | 52c | 214,750$111,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,669.96 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 47c | 114,592$54,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,309.35 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 52c | 105,333$55,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,270.73 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 52c | 40,000$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,700 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Wild | 52c | 39,912$20,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,754.34 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wild | 48c | 37,938$18,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,357.37 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Wild | 53c | 37,424$19,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,834.95 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wild | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Wild | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Wild | 48c | 16,919$8,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,121.2 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Wild | 52c | 10,885$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.88 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Wild | 53c | 10,768$5,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,706.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Wild | 51c | 10,196$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.96 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Wild | 49c | 10,194$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.88 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Wild | 53c | 9,843$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.56 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Wild | 53c | 9,085$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wild | 52c | 8,734$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wild | 38c | 7,205$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.82 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 50c | 6,947$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.65 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Wild | 52c | 6,383$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.16 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Wild | 52c | 5,678$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.55 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Flames | 46c | 5,603$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.52 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 53c | 5,091$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.76 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Wild | 49c | 5,041$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wild | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Wild | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Wild | 48c | 4,921$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.02 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Wild | 53c | 4,415$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.95 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 46c | 3,947$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.51 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Wild | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.71 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Wild | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Wild | 48c | 3,235$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Wild | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wild | 51c | 2,837$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.62 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…a4f4backed Wild | 53c | 2,328$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wild | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…9719backed Flames | 48c | 2,187$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked Flames | 46c | 2,165$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…206fbacked Flames | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…ce62backed Wild | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Wild | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Wild | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wild | 53c | 2,000$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Wild | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 56c | 1,932$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.53 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wild | 30c | 1,892$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.92 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Wild | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Wild | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 52c | 1,758$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.92 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Flames | 47c | 1,754$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.43 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild | 52c | 1,634$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.68 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flames | 48c | 1,625$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Flames | 47c | 1,603$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.74 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wild | 47c | 1,531$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.21 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Wild | 33c | 1,517$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Wild | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 45c | 1,480$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.08 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Wild | 53c | 1,427$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.31 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 47c | 1,415$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.21 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 47c | 1,403$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.24 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wild | 2c | 1,302$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Wild | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Wild | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Wild | 48c | 1,140$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wild | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Wild | 53c | 1,077$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Wild | 52c | 1,071$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.98 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Wild | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wild | 23c | 1,031$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 52c | 1,021$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.3 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Wild | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d5…178fbacked Flames | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Wild | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd6…014cbacked Wild | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wild | 25c | 963.73$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.51 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Wild | 54c | 927.78$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Wild | 50c | 780.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.36 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 47c | 760.84$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.31 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Flames | 61c | 709.53$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.65 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 49c | 706.6$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…f949backed Wild | 13c | 633.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Flames | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flames | 46c | 615.25$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.23 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Wild | 41c | 606.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Wild | 54c | 592.58$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Wild | 49c | 574.76$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.38 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Wild | 48c | 574$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wild | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Flames | 47c | 559.96$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.78 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Wild | 52c | 549$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Flames | 53c | 533.87$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.94 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flames | 48c | 510$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.11 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Wild | 53c | 508.36$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.43 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flames | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Flamesthis page
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Flames won
- Wild vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.