TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc3c0…93fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST9045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$79.3
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+194.1%+$79.2
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$81.9
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$92.8
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
Rangers vs. Bluesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+194.1%+$158.4
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$206.7
Wild vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Oilers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$141.1
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60.2
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+117.4%+$34.56
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$91.8
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$53.2
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$89.6
Oilers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$84.64
Panthers vs. Avalanchebacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$61.5
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST7038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$581.63
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$150
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$594
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$25.99
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+102%+$101.01
Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,024.8
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$2,100
Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$980
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.5%+$159.1
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$166.4
Suns vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58%+$63.12
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Lakers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 125.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80.17
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$49.4
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$92.5
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$153.6
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$88
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$122
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$66.3
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$130.91
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$91.45
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$130.19
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$70.4
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$86.7
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$79.9
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+107%+$113.71
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Raiders vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$351
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+132.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Louisiana Techbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$67.2
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+156.4%+$85.06
O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
Florida International vs. Western Kentuckybacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$408.17
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU Cougars vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$44.8
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Morehead State Eaglesbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$239
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs UNiTY esports (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+150%+$128.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.