NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa725c068a4e373af0efb0a7a049dd2acd5d500ebacb6ea5cbcc25d7fa777d7e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Nets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $979,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,040,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $979,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Wizards | 57c | 150,404$85,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,198.2 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Nets | 56c | 96,917$54,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,728.2 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…0b3cbacked Nets | 44c | 77,287$33,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,622.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Nets | 44c | 65,909$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,909.09 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wizards | 39c | 50,000$19,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,700.01 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…ac38backed Wizards | 16c | 28,794$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,596.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Nets | 63c | 27,106$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,105.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Nets | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Wizards | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.99 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nets | 43c | 18,785$8,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,707.42 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 34c | 18,278$6,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,292.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Wizards | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…7d09backed Nets | 12c | 15,667$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,786.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wizards | 58c | 15,000$8,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,650 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 33c | 12,709$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.62 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Nets | 52c | 12,201$6,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nets | 59c | 11,121$6,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.02 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Wizards | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Wizards | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 57c | 9,997$5,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,703.31 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Nets | 43c | 9,208$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,248.54 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 33c | 8,223$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 1c | 7,784$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 56c | 7,075$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Wizards | 16c | 6,932$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.25 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 1c | 6,570$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Nets | 79c | 6,401$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.53 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nets | 56c | 6,024$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.23 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Wizards | 57c | 5,912$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.2 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 29c | 5,863$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets | 63c | 5,643$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.68 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 20c | 5,593$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.93 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nets | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Wizards | 57c | 5,000$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.93 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Wizards | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Wizards | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Wizards | 57c | 4,720$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.97 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 57c | 4,533$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.15 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Nets | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wizards | 57c | 4,244$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.33 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 1c | 4,012$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Wizards | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 38c | 3,715$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.78 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Wizards | 37c | 3,560$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 43c | 3,230$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…a3a3backed Nets | 74c | 3,192$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Nets | 60c | 2,660$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.2 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…abf5backed Nets | 43c | 2,567$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 57c | 2,500$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.5 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Nets | 47c | 2,480$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.13 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets | 58c | 2,411$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.29 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Wizards | 30c | 2,255$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.85 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Wizards | 57c | 2,170$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.9 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Wizards | 57c | 2,100$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Nets | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Nets | 72c | 2,094$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.67 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nets | 43c | 2,056$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.26 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Wizards | 27c | 2,047$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…0d53backed Wizards | 29c | 1,940$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nets | 50c | 1,926$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.05 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…eea8backed Wizards | 57c | 1,717$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 58c | 1,650$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wizards | 56c | 1,610$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.57 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Nets | 67c | 1,554$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.92 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Nets | 50c | 1,550$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.99 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Wizards | 35c | 1,498$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Wizards | 56c | 1,310$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.82 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…db09backed Wizards | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Nets | 73c | 1,271$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.83 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nets | 42c | 1,238$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.79 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 52c | 1,150$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Nets | 57c | 1,138$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.78 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 48c | 1,102$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.01 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Wizards | 46c | 1,075$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,071$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Nets | 43c | 1,068$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.76 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Wizards | 29c | 1,049$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…6786backed Wizards | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Nets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Wizards | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Nets | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…acf9backed Wizards | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2101…d96dbacked Wizards | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…38e5backed Wizards | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nets | 65c | 970$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.19 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 40c | 949.91$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.56 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Wizards | 54c | 925.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Wizards | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Wizards | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…a421backed Wizards | 57c | 849.99$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Nets | 43c | 799.99$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Wizards | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Wizards | 29c | 758.33$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…d4a4backed Nets | 67c | 743.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Wizards | 5c | 705.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Nets | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Wizards (-1.5)Nets won
- Nets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Wizards (-3.5)Nets won
- Spread: Wizards (-4.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.