TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa24f…593d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST2711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-62.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$634.04
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will Switzerland vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+267.1%+$800.18
Will Zambia win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Will South Africa vs. Zambia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$364
Will Niger win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will Croatia vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$134
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+334.8%+$669.57
Will Tunisia vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Oman vs. Sudan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will Oman win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$190.97
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Andorra win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Armenia win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Lithuania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$53.52
Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80.74
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-74.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$213
Akron Zips vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$70.81
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. McNeese State Cowboysbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Fairfield Stagsbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$250
North Texas Mean Green vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$119
Tarleton State Texans vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Samford Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Towson Tigersbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28.48
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$149
Monmouth Hawks vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$199.26
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$843.62
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Georgetown Hoyasbacked Binghamton Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$97.72
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Bradley Bravesbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+387.2%+$1,167.95
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$154.95
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$163
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$223.96
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500.6
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$705
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+52.7%+$1,580.25
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+72.1%+$1,297.38
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+129.3%+$1,035.26
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$382.31
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
All 16 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST90%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Scott Seiver win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Josh Arieh win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$44.21
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$1,001
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+93.5%+$681.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$459
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.