NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5218cd435e3619322b2c3ef863bc6081b19b6449d2b8ebe56653dd0232a483b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Bucks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,999,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,289,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,999,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,636 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 136,389$96,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,031.72 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 69c | 116,174$79,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,304.05 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bucks | 30c | 102,500$30,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,772.06 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…1a64backed Cavaliers | 73c | 96,263$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,262.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 30c | 71,891$21,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,710.28 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers | 71c | 65,555$46,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,010.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 30c | 60,861$18,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,077.57 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Bucks | 29c | 60,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Bucks | 29c | 43,000$12,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,470 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 41,655$29,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,002.04 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers | 71c | 40,000$28,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.97 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Cavaliers | 70c | 39,998$27,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,159.27 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 35c | 36,900$12,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,898.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bucks | 32c | 36,062$11,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,620.63 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 31c | 28,932$9,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,097.99 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cavaliers | 70c | 23,189$16,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,870.48 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 63c | 21,010$13,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,765.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Bucks | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 28c | 17,972$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.69 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bucks | 31c | 17,333$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,373.27 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Cavaliers | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Bucks | 24c | 14,370$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 14,085$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.89 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cavaliers | 66c | 13,541$8,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.24 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…5ffabacked Bucks | 31c | 13,097$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 36c | 12,341$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Bucks | 30c | 12,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…922ebacked Cavaliers | 69c | 10,340$7,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…d9fcbacked Bucks | 31c | 10,329$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…c180backed Bucks | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Bucks | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Cavaliers | 73c | 9,996$7,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.01 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bucks | 28c | 9,681$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.68 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bucks | 20c | 9,288$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.88 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Bucks | 32c | 9,119$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 25c | 9,015$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.52 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 30c | 8,972$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Cavaliers | 57c | 8,354$4,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 19c | 8,096$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.92 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 30c | 7,949$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…c350backed Cavaliers | 72c | 7,200$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Bucks | 48c | 6,681$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.65 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 30c | 6,674$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 18c | 6,337$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.3 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Bucks | 28c | 5,959$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.04 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…f4b1backed Cavaliers | 72c | 5,801$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…5795backed Bucks | 28c | 5,795$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 32c | 5,767$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 20c | 5,173$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.6 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,150$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.72 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…50aebacked Cavaliers | 71c | 5,100$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cavaliers | 69c | 5,029$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.16 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Bucks | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Bucks | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cavaliers | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Bucks | 30c | 4,959$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…7365backed Cavaliers | 71c | 4,900$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Bucks | 31c | 4,790$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Cavaliers | 68c | 4,642$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.09 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 4,320$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.15 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Bucks | 14c | 4,200$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Cavaliers | 70c | 4,152$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.63 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 4,132$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.32 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks | 24c | 4,130$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.09 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bucks | 30c | 4,125$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…daa9backed Cavaliers | 77c | 3,936$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.07 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Bucks | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Cavaliers | 71c | 3,550$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.28 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed Bucks | 25c | 3,549$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.85 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Cavaliers | 71c | 3,500$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Cavaliers | 70c | 3,291$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.43 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 29c | 3,168$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.63 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…f244backed Cavaliers | 69c | 3,125$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…5214backed Bucks | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bucks | 29c | 3,053$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.08 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 30c | 3,050$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Bucks | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bucks | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 34c | 2,826$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bucks | 29c | 2,692$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.48 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Cavaliers | 60c | 2,646$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.21 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 1c | 2,610$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Bucks | 28c | 2,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…8ba5backed Bucks | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 70c | 2,443$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.32 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 29c | 2,443$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.38 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf300…3fabbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 2,400$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bucks | 29c | 2,331$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Bucks | 31c | 2,279$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Bucks | 32c | 2,216$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.26 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bucks | 29c | 2,197$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.39 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bucks | 29c | 2,138$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.88 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks | 31c | 2,037$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.69 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.5 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Cavaliers | 65c | 2,000$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.73 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Bucks | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Bucks | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Cavaliersthis page
- Bucks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Bucks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.