TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7902…170c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT790%0 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$89.99
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$148
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$79.96
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$89.91
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$169
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$158
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.1
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$456.21
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$55.04
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$466.89
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.05
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$52.86
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.75
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5,316.61
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4,784.81
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+119.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,344
FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$1,457.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.