TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$677,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$468,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90d4…c7c8backed Yes5c151,380$7,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,326.5516141.6%67 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes3c41,859$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.7420031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839b…7768backed Yes2c21,080$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1933…b444backed Yes4c20,664$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.531136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4514…0ba5backed Yes1c19,112$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c17,738$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.432021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c14,025$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes4c13,866$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.439124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes5c13,215$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.73128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes1c12,020$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.02280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes12c10,094$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c7,926$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.651705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes7c7,611$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.777346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5874…6b11backed Yes2c6,044$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.641020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes5c4,939$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.882917.2%5 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+141.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f17…cf1bbacked Yes2c4,395$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.722060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7863…ffddbacked Yes7c4,379$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…9167backed Yes7c3,673$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1940…0ea1backed Yes1c3,033$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,901$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.647799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71bb…ef00backed Yes6c2,817$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0450%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes8c2,550$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1618739%73 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…395bbacked Yes1c2,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4350%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a4…9ba4backed Yes7c2,132$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e12…425dbacked Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28f…841abacked Yes10c1,996$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.58425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes4c1,755$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.24563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+93.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Yes8c1,669$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.53327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes2c1,635$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3942336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7387…25c3backed Yes9c1,493$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes2c1,365$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.344829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Yes8c1,350$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d0…6003backed Yes7c1,308$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6950%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c82…9728backed Yes7c1,292$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.841952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…b82cbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187c…2f22backed Yes8c1,244$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked Yes1c1,213$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-82.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed Yes8c1,202$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.151181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.37per pick45cpaid+63.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes12c1,162$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.352429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd033…033dbacked Yes9c1,144$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036947.8%33 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes9c1,115$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.947856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a30…99ecbacked Yes4c1,083$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe381…3ba9backed Yes12c1,002$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.42137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea0d…5866backed Yes7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Yes9c999.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-66.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2f…07d3backed Yes6c999.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603941%16 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c87…7a47backed Yes1c963.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.391723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48d2…35a6backed Yes12c950$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…3437backed Yes9c888.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661e…2c7abacked Yes8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b1…aaadbacked Yes7c853.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes4c831.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.42110%0 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe1c…192fbacked Yes7c763.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.751145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes6c753.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef44…5483backed Yes7c747.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-75.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes5c725$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3819241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcadf…b2e3backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a53…092bbacked Yes4c710.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee2…de75backed Yes7c710$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.72630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes4c700.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57045.7%32 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes5c700.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.246098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes8c650$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x120a…2d7ebacked Yes8c650$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260e…73e9backed Yes10c645.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd723…25bfbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f59…54f8backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+96%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8422449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2142…6b8cbacked Yes3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes6c575.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2121141.7%88 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Yes8c550$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445527.3%15 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdcc…e1f9backed Yes5c535.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa02…f3d3backed Yes6c515.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e4…d18fbacked Yes5c502.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.052035%7 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459322.6%21 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes8c500$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.992119%4 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d7…af9cbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes6c496.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes10c492.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes6c441.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26273.7%1 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-69.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e13…e3e1backed Yes8c435.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…50c8backed Yes7c429.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306640.9%27 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe4…d191backed Yes8c414.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed Yes7c414.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes8c414.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4836329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcdd…39e2backed Yes5c413.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x601f…9d3fbacked Yes5c406.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes8c406.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5211038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5e8…2352backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…7460backed Yes7c381.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes6c376.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.690%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes13c332.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2312735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes10c329.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes12c310.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0615332%49 W · 104 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes9c304.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9730241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2520…b197backed Yes8c304.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.