TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,877 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes2c1,250$24 inLost-$23.5310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes13c737.76$95 inLost-$94.674551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes3c669.24$19 inLost-$19.03280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed Yes14c360.43$50 inLost-$504736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed Yes11c214.95$24 inLost-$23.895125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes33c200$66 inLost-$6610138.6%39 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc83…37efbacked No80c165.88$133 inWon+$33.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Yes17c119.47$20 inLost-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick39cpaid+48.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes52c100$52 inLost-$5218538.9%72 W · 113 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No79c100$79 inWon+$213542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No61c90.7$56 inWon+$35.194055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No77c90$69 inWon+$20.76098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes18c83$15 inLost-$14.9426037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes14c80$11 inLost-$11.44829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No57c40$23 inWon+$17.212534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…743ebacked Yes44c40$18 inLost-$17.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked Yes40c32.5$13 inLost-$13812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-82.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…3ddabacked No79c30.51$24 inWon+$6.491190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked No54c21$11 inWon+$9.6610853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No75c20.06$15 inWon+$5.0917652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…59d3backed No58c20$12 inWon+$8.43458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.