TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c11,625$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.92310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No72c9,580$6,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.584030%12 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes19c5,009$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.731728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes14c3,017$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.55395.1%2 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-92.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No73c2,165$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.427856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8045…9116backed Yes25c1,547$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.7160%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No63c1,302$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.112534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed No78c1,100$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2382763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed No71c884.86$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.82035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4299…10ccbacked Yes23c717.08$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9370%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No63c701.77$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.712458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Yes29c685.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes27c666.61$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.952429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6db…25c3backed Yes25c578.05$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes24c555$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.27733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No74c538.7$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.351,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…3ddabacked No78c520$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.21190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes27c476.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.876445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Yes21c439$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No74c426.69$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1117652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes12c423.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9938329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes40c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15815261.2%93 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes30c366.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8317632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ce…8bd8backed Yes33c355.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.13130%0 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes16c349.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.92280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4491…ce4fbacked No75c323.36$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.59366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes45c320.54$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No62c319.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0716225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb83…96a7backed Yes49c317.38$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10818739%73 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Yes15c290.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.511440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…743ebacked Yes28c289.63$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.391546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28c3…42cbbacked Yes23c282.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f3…0becbacked Yes22c272.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861c…0668backed Yes19c257.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes27c251$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.776126.2%16 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f0fbbacked No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x420f…9090backed Yes23c223$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.295160.8%31 W · 20 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+46.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x353f…a9d9backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502520%5 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4264…f8bfbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…bb21backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee2a…729bbacked Yes23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453810.5%4 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427142.3%30 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7387…25c3backed Yes45c197.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2213…492cbacked No73c191.91$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.315100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1284…3694backed Yes9c190.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No80c188.55$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.791070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed No71c187.23$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.787742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…cdc3backed Yes12c166$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No66c159.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3642…757dbacked No55c154.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.473357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes39c154.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1466239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick39cpaid+48.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes22c151.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.339643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x250a…c9adbacked No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes26c149.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcd…a764backed Yes38c147.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.071936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes14c142.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.069124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes20c141.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9742737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes20c138.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.736631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes33c135.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.91241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes31c127.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.427346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed8…35f0backed Yes24c126$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.821323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabff…6b73backed No67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x468c…151ebacked Yes26c114.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes22c113$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8626037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes18c108$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.768451.2%43 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d26…6540backed Yes22c106$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No60c105.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.23663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No78c100.24$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.183100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3655044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de3…b06abacked No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4022550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c9…b108backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209851%50 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2549…c8b1backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-76.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7130241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.37per pick45cpaid+63.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes17c99.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be5…893cbacked No64c94.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…e44dbacked Yes28c92.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…8679backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4262…abaabacked Yes35c88.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.551435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18a…3ae9backed No69c87.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.09633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2182…73e1backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204753.2%25 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7282…8f4cbacked Yes38c86.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x538d…55afbacked Yes14c85.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121952.6%10 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9216333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9219445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc2d…8147backed Yes27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked No59c76.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.251338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes32c74.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.917799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.