Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce7cac1cb03259b839a431d64b27dbbe9714ce3e87925a9a9e025b1ce17aae4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 11,625$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 72c | 9,580$6,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.58 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 19c | 5,009$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.7 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 14c | 3,017$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.55 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 73c | 2,165$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.42 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed Yes | 25c | 1,547$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 63c | 1,302$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.1 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed No | 78c | 1,100$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 71c | 884.86$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4299…10ccbacked Yes | 23c | 717.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 63c | 701.77$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 29c | 685.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 27c | 666.61$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…25c3backed Yes | 25c | 578.05$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 24c | 555$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 538.7$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 78c | 520$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 27c | 476.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Yes | 21c | 439$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 74c | 426.69$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 12c | 423.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 40c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 30c | 366.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…8bd8backed Yes | 33c | 355.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 16c | 349.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…ce4fbacked No | 75c | 323.36$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 45c | 320.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 62c | 319.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb83…96a7backed Yes | 49c | 317.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 15c | 290.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked Yes | 28c | 289.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…42cbbacked Yes | 23c | 282.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…0becbacked Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861c…0668backed Yes | 19c | 257.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes | 27c | 251$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Yes | 23c | 223$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…a9d9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…f8bfbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…bb21backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…25c3backed Yes | 45c | 197.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 73c | 191.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…3694backed Yes | 9c | 190.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 80c | 188.55$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed No | 71c | 187.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…cdc3backed Yes | 12c | 166$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 66c | 159.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…757dbacked No | 55c | 154.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 154.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 22c | 151.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…c9adbacked No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…a764backed Yes | 38c | 147.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 20c | 141.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 20c | 138.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 135.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 31c | 127.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 24c | 126$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…151ebacked Yes | 26c | 114.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 22c | 113$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes | 18c | 108$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…6540backed Yes | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…1446backed No | 60c | 105.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 78c | 100.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…b06abacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…c8b1backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.37per pick | 45cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 17c | 99.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…893cbacked No | 64c | 94.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…e44dbacked Yes | 28c | 92.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 35c | 88.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…3ae9backed No | 69c | 87.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2182…73e1backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7282…8f4cbacked Yes | 38c | 86.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…55afbacked Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…8147backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…55cabacked No | 59c | 76.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 74.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?this page
- Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.