TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,873 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c11,675$76 inLost-$76.32310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No69c447.52$309 inWon+$138.868547.1%40 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb146…63afbacked Yes15c380$56 inLost-$56.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+91.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes6c279.98$17 inLost-$17.2280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes8c225$17 inLost-$17.254829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…12b8backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe474…018dbacked Yes19c215$41 inLost-$40.85520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed Yes20c182.99$36 inLost-$35.95125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes12c150$18 inLost-$182119%4 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick39cpaid+48.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes19c100$19 inLost-$1955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x571c…b9f9backed Yes47c100$47 inLost-$47714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes13c99.99$13 inLost-$1320031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes23c97.6$23 inLost-$22.7417652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes14c76.5$11 inLost-$11.0142737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes22c70$15 inLost-$15.248636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Yes28c70$20 inLost-$19.522240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x065d…a672backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No70c22.26$15 inWon+$6.773100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked No78c20.99$16 inWon+$4.6210853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ce…83a4backed No79c20$16 inWon+$4.26100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+108.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.