TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb1ca…1705backed No35c12,478$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,073.091181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.37per pick45cpaid+63.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c11,944$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.32310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e7…312fbacked Yes79c10,000$7,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,887.661118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-65.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaae9…d661backed No39c4,981$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+174.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No29c4,232$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.697856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes38c2,726$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.793718.9%7 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc83…37efbacked Yes77c2,200$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.95560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c97…1b68backed No53c2,172$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,636$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.477799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…757dbacked No14c1,597$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.83357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209a…9a8dbacked No20c1,455$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e5…c48dbacked Yes49c1,451$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No20c1,429$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.261758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No76c1,367$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.48547.1%40 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1df…af33backed Yes28c1,076$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-55.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf92a…a517backed No77c1,032$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No59c999.96$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.981,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed No45c931.39$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.7322449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No66c920.83$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.293542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed No58c899.95$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc501…edb6backed Yes22c875.52$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.981136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes24c816.09$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.34829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ad…64afbacked No20c796.31$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1981…7e5ebacked No20c796.31$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7282…8f4cbacked Yes46c776.98$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2187…3c41backed No70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2666965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc8fb…7c7ebacked No20c628.28$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes51c617.16$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.753636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes43c616.06$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x907c…23c1backed Yes49c587.8$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2862045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25a7…8b7cbacked No20c578.95$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.595450%27 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d8…77d8backed No21c562.26$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No70c540.71$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2119345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes41c533$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.672,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No34c499.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9912534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes54c480$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.625646.5%119 W · 137 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1994…b4e5backed Yes52c469.66$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.573917.9%7 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-49.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed No79c464.36$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.372035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed Yes67c451.59$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.71637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes59c418.59$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2517652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ce…83a4backed No26c411.28$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.26100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+108.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No60c399.97$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9925352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf89e…b571backed No62c399.5$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No44c377.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.32458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb335…aac1backed Yes27c372.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No69c360.45$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1912454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Yes37c339.82$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.826338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x321e…9292backed Yes11c324$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes16c323.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9826037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3594…dc58backed No64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a93…6c32backed Yes33c307.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff6…d1fdbacked Yes65c298.96$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.321040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+129.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes8c297.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.84551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed No76c294.92$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.782763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…3f18backed No56c287.65$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.351353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed Yes36c283.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeed8…35f0backed Yes21c278.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.771323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb59…6ca3backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2715952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99b…b581backed No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee0e…cc65backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x922b…8693backed Yes20c234.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Yes25c231.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.881811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick39cpaid+48.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Yes29c225.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.438062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e92…71a6backed No14c224$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.082123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027a…ea13backed Yes22c219.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.72728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1284…3694backed Yes7c216.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7655…f0b2backed No73c215.61$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…fb01backed Yes31c211.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12417632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa21f…b08fbacked Yes76c200$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2565…6227backed Yes57c188.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc88e…67f2backed No20c184.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick28cpaid+131%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6442…cdc3backed Yes13c182.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c3…5b9abacked No73c182.05$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked No43c172.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.561656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed Yes35c168$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.25125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes14c162$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1319445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…40a3backed Yes31c161.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde72…e386backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes14c160$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.223245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes9c159.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01f…74abbacked Yes40c156.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc39…8ad8backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e5…8e79backed Yes64c155.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf143…4ef2backed No62c155.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.111275%9 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b49…2e46backed No64c147.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.151464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519c…8ae9backed Yes50c144.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.832733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed No20c142.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.223342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb17d…59aebacked No71c139.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes66c133.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887052.9%37 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed No74c128.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.963327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5940…1b54backed Yes23c128.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2213…492cbacked No75c127.66$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98b1…ac89backed Yes37c127.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No68c122.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…1182backed Yes9c122.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3b…39fcbacked Yes28c121$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ed…6c1dbacked Yes62c112.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e90…a3b5backed Yes54c111.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.