TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x907c…23c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
271
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT7838.5%30 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.67
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 16?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$13.16
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 25?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 24?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+220.5%+$103.2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$39.28
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$47.44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+102%+$20.2
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$11.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.66
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.2
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$286
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Drake attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+519.1%+$181.53
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Hung Up be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the announcers say "Possession" or "On the Ball" 10+ times during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will the announcers say "Temperature" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$16.99
Will Germany go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will the announcers say "Ankle" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.25
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+46%+$31.5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$63.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$54.34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.55
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.74
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$87
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$45.15
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$31.6
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$81.03
Will Green Left win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.49
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$24.85
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$188.67
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$128.94
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+220.5%+$27.52
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get between 35 and 40 million views on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.86
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.08
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.16
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$304.44
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$45.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkovabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parksbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Chisinau: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Alex Martinezbacked Alex Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$43.8
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$26.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$45.5
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Otto Lopez record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$17.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddybacked John · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vici Gaming win the 2026 Games of the Future tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.