Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57d291529f125c8e73bf1104b7b166680907c6c0b840542a119ec1f27f78842b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Downof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Down | 69c | 8,713$5,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.17 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…0d21backed Up | 46c | 4,344$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.14 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Up | 36c | 4,204$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.29 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…5728backed Down | 70c | 3,973$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf64…bf7dbacked Up | 29c | 3,909$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Up | 58c | 2,540$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.3 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Down | 69c | 2,400$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Down | 74c | 2,299$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.34 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ee…d218backed Up | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Up | 35c | 1,609$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.61 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Up | 41c | 1,373$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.91 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…17f4backed Down | 53c | 1,307$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Down | 65c | 1,291$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.86 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Up | 40c | 1,200$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.2 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…4ebbbacked Down | 72c | 999.98$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb66…93ddbacked Up | 24c | 688.86$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed Up | 44c | 681.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed Down | 67c | 675.76$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…47f6backed Up | 2c | 649.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Up | 41c | 568.52$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…f88ebacked Down | 43c | 554.73$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…c284backed Down | 56c | 478.34$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Down | 31c | 471.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.31 | 305 | 43.6%133 W · 172 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…404ebacked Down | 53c | 469.68$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…e011backed Up | 19c | 440.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…4d5ebacked Down | 15c | 409.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.59 | 154 | 21.4%33 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed Down | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Up | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Up | 49c | 332.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Down | 66c | 321.75$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Down | 80c | 312.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Down | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…044cbacked Up | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…6d06backed Up | 43c | 286.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…0b8bbacked Up | 47c | 270.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Up | 55c | 249.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ff…3fcdbacked Down | 66c | 225.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Down | 74c | 222.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Up | 33c | 220.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…5431backed Down | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…23f6backed Down | 69c | 219.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…b236backed Up | 41c | 204.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Up | 21c | 204.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Down | 80c | 202.16$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Down | 28c | 201.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…90b5backed Up | 32c | 201.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4016…4623backed Down | 71c | 201$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…e2b1backed Down | 71c | 201$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…b548backed Up | 24c | 201$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…551fbacked Down | 59c | 200.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Down | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed Down | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…0ac4backed Down | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +303.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…f135backed Down | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Down | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Down | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…d39bbacked Down | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…8df6backed Up | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Up | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Up | 34c | 179.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…f384backed Down | 48c | 179.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed Down | 69c | 142.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed Up | 56c | 127.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Down | 73c | 125.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Down | 68c | 122.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed Up | 41c | 110.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…fd1dbacked Down | 67c | 108.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…83f2backed Down | 64c | 104.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Up | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Up | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…d178backed Down | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af3…2360backed Up | 31c | 98.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Down | 44c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Down | 33c | 91.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 369 | 50.7%187 W · 182 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Up | 56c | 76.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…1734backed Up | 32c | 75.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4cc7backed Up | 21c | 68.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…18febacked Down | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Up | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…7bfcbacked Down | 77c | 41.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…4ac5backed Down | 39c | 40.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Down | 79c | 37.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12d…6a2cbacked Down | 51c | 37.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…1210backed Down | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…d2efbacked Down | 65c | 35.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…e3ddbacked Down | 62c | 32.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Up | 43c | 30.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c5…787cbacked Up | 47c | 27.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Down | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Down | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…e990backed Down | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…688cbacked Down | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Down | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.