TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd71c…20b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.98
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$137.3
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.85
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.2
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.21
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+322.8%+$1,299.43
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.16
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$100.74
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.35
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.74
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.77
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.06
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$156.05
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.04
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$60.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$146.07
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.89
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$416.09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.92
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$211.47
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.25
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.96
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$81.42
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.05
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$22.04
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$30.85
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.3
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$59.71
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.47
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cloud Rising · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92%+$41.49
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$146.48
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$57.09
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.54
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$239.15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.51
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$355.12
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.26
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$645.36
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.86
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$197.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$71.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+342.7%+$178.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$46.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$121.06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$52.32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 25?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 23?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.74
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$61.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.81
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$39.23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$176.03
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$358.78
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$248.76
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$286.35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$1,327.58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.03
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.79
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78%+$174.94
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$142.08
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$39.37
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$138.17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$58.17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.43
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+354.5%+$341.32
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,659.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.04
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60.43
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.08
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.62
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.61
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$87.32
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.25
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.34
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.62
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$32.66
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.47
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.29
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.63
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$41.93
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$23.84
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$34
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$110.82
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$33.65
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$43.58
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.88
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.75
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.74
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$47.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.6%+$92.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$32.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$28.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40%+$185.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.