CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e9448fb909105dabb57e9054534f265ce74f8190d99289fa33fd48b45ff924a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Vitality, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,038,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,222,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,038,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 681 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 60c | 63,204$37,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,922.56 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Vitality | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.97 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 28,712$15,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,831.55 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 40c | 25,555$10,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,333.32 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Team Falcons | 40c | 24,461$9,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,676.4 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vitality | 38c | 16,442$6,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,326.29 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 40c | 16,041$6,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,576.84 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Vitality | 65c | 15,285$10,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,009.42 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 12,704$7,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,321.27 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…a850backed Team Falcons | 39c | 12,565$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,664.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Vitality | 33c | 12,510$4,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.13 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Vitality | 54c | 12,293$6,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,633.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Vitality | 6c | 11,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Falcons | 40c | 11,031$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,618.6 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Vitality | 59c | 10,628$6,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,301.84 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 9,498$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.97 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bc…69d9backed Vitality | 0c | 8,986$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Vitality | 57c | 8,661$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.5 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 7,725$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.17 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons | 47c | 7,714$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.91 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Falcons | 40c | 7,700$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 54c | 7,484$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.03 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Team Falcons | 41c | 6,161$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.5 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Vitality | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.97 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Team Falcons | 40c | 5,995$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.54 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Vitality | 40c | 5,473$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.05 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vitality | 57c | 5,406$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.62 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…c68bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 5,361$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Vitality | 41c | 5,320$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 41c | 5,304$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.26 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Vitality | 60c | 5,028$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.72 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Falcons | 40c | 5,025$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.92 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Vitality | 54c | 5,023$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.61 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…893ebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 4,881$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vitality | 37c | 4,626$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.69 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 4,604$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.68 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Falcons | 39c | 4,523$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.62 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed Team Falcons | 71c | 4,507$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.43 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Team Falcons | 38c | 4,437$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Falcons | 40c | 4,207$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Vitality | 61c | 3,986$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.41 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Team Falcons | 46c | 3,895$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.22 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 39c | 3,831$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.61 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Team Falcons | 44c | 3,830$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.66 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Vitality | 45c | 3,794$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Team Falcons | 39c | 3,775$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.48 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality | 48c | 3,746$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.7 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 3,702$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.72 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 3,623$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.12 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 49c | 3,581$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.31 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons | 42c | 3,548$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.6 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Team Falcons | 46c | 3,514$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.43 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 3,497$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…1f66backed Vitality | 18c | 3,465$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Vitality | 37c | 3,439$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 53c | 3,416$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Vitality | 59c | 3,376$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.77 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Team Falcons | 59c | 3,308$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.87 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Vitality | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Vitality | 43c | 3,129$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.77 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Falcons | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.97 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88b…19d9backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,975$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Vitality | 60c | 2,846$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.72 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Vitality | 39c | 2,822$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.65 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…de17backed Vitality | 44c | 2,785$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.55 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vitality | 49c | 2,683$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.77 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…9ff3backed Vitality | 43c | 2,551$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Vitality | 62c | 2,420$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Vitality | 15c | 2,387$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.3 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team Falcons | 26c | 2,318$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.62 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed Team Falcons | 36c | 2,225$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.2 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Vitality | 60c | 2,222$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 48c | 2,123$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.96 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Team Falcons | 77c | 2,076$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.28 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vitality | 58c | 2,075$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.51 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,038$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.08 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Vitality | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Vitality | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +14.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.97 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,867$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.24 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vitality | 40c | 1,866$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.82 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.49 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked Vitality | 51c | 1,838$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.76 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,750$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 1,728$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.22 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Vitality | 70c | 1,706$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.25 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,661$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.9 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Vitality | 60c | 1,637$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.2 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8291…622dbacked Vitality | 34c | 1,628$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.88 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Vitality | 61c | 1,598$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.4 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Vitality | 60c | 1,522$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.46 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 1,423$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.08 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Vitality | 57c | 1,400$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.49 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,388$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.23 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 1,385$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.2 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.