CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d92f4d415b95fe5d41d00f23963db9e9accd898c6147e91656037542c87d641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Vitality, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality | 41c | 2,647$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.84 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,000$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Team Falcons | 58c | 687.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.29 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 662.52$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Vitality | 44c | 234.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons | 56c | 222.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 446 | 43.5%194 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Vitality | 43c | 141.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team Falcons | 57c | 134.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Vitality | 41c | 121.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Vitality | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Vitality | 43c | 79.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Team Falcons | 56c | 68.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…bdffbacked Vitality | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 68.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 63.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Falcons | 54c | 53.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c6…d2d6backed Team Falcons | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Vitality | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Team Falcons | 56c | 35.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vitality | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.