CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d613b0241fa7a47c20247ac2a0cdb1bade75c78e7fc0b016a3ef07ab7270386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Vitality, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 3,516$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.06 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality | 48c | 3,336$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.73 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Vitality | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 297 | 39.4%117 W · 180 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,354$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.8 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,136$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,038$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.5 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,019$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 837.38$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.38 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Team Falcons | 52c | 629.3$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Vitality | 51c | 505$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.55 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed Team Falcons | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Team Falcons | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Team Falcons | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Vitality | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Falcons | 49c | 425.53$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.02 | 256 | 47.7%122 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Vitality | 51c | 425.53$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Vitality | 51c | 406.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.57 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Vitality | 48c | 287.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Vitality | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Vitality | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons | 49c | 228.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…b432backed Team Falcons | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 158.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Vitality | 48c | 112.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Team Falcons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…ff50backed Vitality | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Team Falcons | 52c | 90.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 68.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…bdffbacked Vitality | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Vitality | 48c | 37.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Vitality | 48c | 29.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.