CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b9176d24ac65c3ec55f5113c290b7ce97dc026dc506db9f1444879ffcdadd6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Vitality, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,845,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,561,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,845,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,555 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Team Falcons | 51c | 497,841$253,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244,030.89 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Vitality | 0c | 456,923$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.01 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Falcons | 32c | 383,221$122,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260,853.06 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Vitality | 63c | 185,704$117,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,521.03 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Team Falcons | 30c | 170,991$51,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,983.83 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 164,426$50,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,589.76 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Vitality | 68c | 158,340$108,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,424.34 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Vitality | 70c | 142,998$100,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,098.83 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 47c | 89,592$42,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,114.09 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 87,511$66,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,984.05 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Vitality | 45c | 81,434$37,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,001.56 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality | 69c | 77,000$53,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,118.15 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed Vitality | 68c | 70,000$47,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,599.95 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Vitality | 68c | 58,394$39,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,890.06 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Falcons | 40c | 53,270$21,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,127.14 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Vitality | 68c | 52,413$35,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,640.6 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vitality | 59c | 51,530$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599.8 | 373 | 46.4%173 W · 200 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Vitality | 71c | 50,000$35,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,500 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 48,487$26,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,304.1 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Vitality | 71c | 44,789$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,800 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 35c | 43,207$14,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,257.17 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Vitality | 35c | 42,172$14,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,562.54 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…96dfbacked Vitality | 69c | 42,039$29,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,007.12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Team Falcons | 31c | 39,355$12,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,061.38 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Vitality | 56c | 38,021$21,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,215.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Team Falcons | 33c | 35,000$11,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,504.05 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…a850backed Team Falcons | 44c | 34,917$15,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,610.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,100 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Vitality | 68c | 29,300$19,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,923.99 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Vitality | 70c | 26,301$18,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,410.46 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 46c | 25,565$11,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,762.61 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vitality | 34c | 24,936$8,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,413.75 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Vitality | 67c | 23,170$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.96 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 22,000$7,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,740 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Team Falcons | 54c | 21,524$11,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,901.06 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Vitality | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Vitality | 69c | 21,251$14,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,662.88 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vitality | 28c | 19,952$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.75 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 18,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Vitality | 64c | 18,000$11,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,579.86 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…b302backed Vitality | 48c | 17,598$8,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,381.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 16,818$9,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,712.46 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons | 34c | 16,567$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,011.05 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Vitality | 39c | 16,220$6,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,356.21 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 16,116$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,066.03 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 16,100$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,109 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Vitality | 47c | 15,738$7,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,396.93 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Vitality | 48c | 15,000$7,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,169.99 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Team Falcons | 32c | 14,875$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,162.18 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Vitality | 61c | 14,854$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Vitality | 37c | 14,780$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.64 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Falcons | 33c | 14,612$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,789.76 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Vitality | 69c | 14,493$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…2bb3backed Vitality | 69c | 14,493$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Vitality | 70c | 13,931$9,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,734.9 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Vitality | 67c | 13,706$9,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,198.02 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality | 74c | 13,595$9,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.37 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Vitality | 65c | 12,673$8,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,216.07 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Team Falcons | 35c | 12,381$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,107.1 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 12,280$5,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,037.84 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Team Falcons | 32c | 12,219$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,366.37 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Vitality | 68c | 12,100$8,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,227.99 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality | 63c | 12,000$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Team Falcons | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Team Falcons | 31c | 11,762$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,112.82 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…369bbacked Vitality | 70c | 11,668$8,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,167.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed Vitality | 47c | 11,156$5,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,243.46 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Vitality | 46c | 11,133$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.77 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 10,920$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.8 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Vitality | 71c | 10,696$7,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Vitality | 46c | 10,560$4,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.49 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 47c | 10,541$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.1 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 10,446$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,312.03 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 10,406$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,885.04 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vitality | 59c | 10,350$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.06 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Vitality | 29c | 10,345$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 29c | 10,225$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,287.49 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Team Falcons | 54c | 10,058$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,593.15 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Vitality | 69c | 10,009$6,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,855.94 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vitality | 61c | 10,001$6,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,140.41 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Vitality | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Team Falcons | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.91 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Team Falcons | 28c | 9,965$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,146.6 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons | 47c | 9,755$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.49 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Vitality | 47c | 9,750$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Vitality | 47c | 9,633$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.82 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…2de5backed Team Falcons | 32c | 9,380$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,379.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039f…80cfbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 9,337$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,535.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vitality | 34c | 9,243$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.16 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Vitality | 47c | 9,079$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Vitality | 69c | 9,052$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,223.4 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Vitality | 69c | 8,930$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…5097backed Team Falcons | 43c | 8,907$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Vitality | 68c | 8,824$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.32 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 8,799$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.71 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons | 49c | 8,763$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.48 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed Vitality | 63c | 8,726$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 8,557$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.72 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.