TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf989…47cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 68 out of 100 (+0.16 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 68 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT4742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$3,163.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,333
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$3,300
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,957.48
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,926.42
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+419.5%+$4,194.81
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81%+$1,862.9
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,177
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$2,245.24
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+257%+$2,570.27
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,758.49
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,250
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$8,118.75
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3284.4%27 W · 5 L+9.1wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+63.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40%+$79.98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,875Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$16,622.43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100.5%+$502.37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+59.2%+$1,184.12
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+106.1%+$2,969.74
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.6%+$2,461.33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.4%+$1,302.19
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.9%+$249.77
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.9%+$2,130.63
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+198.9%+$3,898.84
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$4,784.05
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.9%+$80.65
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+227.7%+$5,009.32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+101.3%+$607.95
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$81.22
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$980.2
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$269.55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,934Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$2,059.56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+68.2%+$11,058.57
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$125.7
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+108.4%+$108.37
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$465.57
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3020%6 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$705
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$5,692.31
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,021.83
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+532.4%+$12,245.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+514%+$2,569.88
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+701.3%+$18,233.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.02
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$956.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,222
Will Natus Vincere win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+294.9%+$4,423.08
Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+92%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+1,269.9%+$9,270
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,089Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+273.1%+$2,974.3
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$2,447.37
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$3,714.29
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,450
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$3,796.38
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+30%+$5,074.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+122.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+345%+$5,230.69
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+60.2%+$3,109.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,125
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.