Us Politics · resolved market
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe85229be9b279bffc835c3b4300c34761688ed7bf63d239409f2bb63bc5b4386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,030,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,093,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,030,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15d7…2921backed No | 0c | 217,152$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…dba8backed Yes | 71c | 102,250$72,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,652.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…16e3backed No | 29c | 102,250$29,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,652.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +192.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…26cebacked Yes | 52c | 96,500$50,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,320 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…1ea7backed No | 48c | 96,497$46,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,318.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…d0d5backed No | 34c | 96,125$32,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,682.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3040…1287backed Yes | 66c | 96,125$63,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,682.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…764bbacked Yes | 59c | 86,152$50,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,322.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…9d1abacked No | 41c | 86,143$35,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,318.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 8c | 48,031$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.61 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 62c | 40,000$24,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,636.2 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 7c | 39,345$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.07 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 60c | 30,145$17,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200.03 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 25c | 27,464$6,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,835.81 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 54c | 24,168$13,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,130.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 3c | 23,973$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.78 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 52c | 23,927$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,426.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 70c | 22,931$15,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 16c | 22,015$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 23c | 21,579$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.65 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked Yes | 75c | 20,000$15,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…11dfbacked Yes | 41c | 17,761$7,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,545.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 70c | 16,649$11,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 10c | 15,792$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.32 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 63c | 15,000$9,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,517.94 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 60c | 14,742$8,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,874.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 75c | 12,574$9,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.24 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 1c | 12,077$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.91 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 52c | 11,861$6,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,647.39 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 57c | 11,793$6,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,673.58 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…ee73backed Yes | 42c | 11,792$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,792 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked No | 7c | 11,637$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.72 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…421dbacked Yes | 75c | 11,091$8,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 11c | 10,877$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.41 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 9c | 10,258$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.5 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 78c | 10,000$7,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 52c | 9,974$5,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.08 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 52c | 9,895$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.91 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 21c | 9,692$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.31 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…e789backed Yes | 70c | 9,426$6,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 61c | 9,352$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.84 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed No | 1c | 9,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 17c | 8,654$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.8 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 37c | 8,633$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.53 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 8,300$6,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.7 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 7c | 8,287$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.97 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 57c | 8,006$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.79 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…07c8backed No | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 21c | 7,500$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.83 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…f05dbacked Yes | 45c | 7,351$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed No | 58c | 7,297$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…8b06backed Yes | 42c | 7,147$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…aaa2backed No | 21c | 7,028$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 59c | 6,844$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045.01 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb562…4672backed No | 31c | 6,723$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 63c | 6,686$4,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…f756backed No | 55c | 6,638$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked No | 4c | 6,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 56c | 6,500$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.94 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 73c | 6,467$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ac…a261backed Yes | 67c | 6,093$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 30c | 6,050$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.48 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 8c | 5,953$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.55 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 28c | 5,935$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc79d…0203backed Yes | 79c | 5,691$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Yes | 29c | 5,663$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…4fbfbacked No | 59c | 5,563$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 30c | 5,486$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.38 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…6da8backed No | 1c | 5,409$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 62c | 5,392$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.66 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…bcd6backed No | 16c | 5,303$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 17c | 5,272$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.22 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 42c | 5,196$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.1 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 40c | 5,168$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.71 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 37c | 5,131$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.61 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 54c | 5,086$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.11 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 5c | 5,066$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +308.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…2ed2backed No | 2c | 5,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.85 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 3c | 4,743$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d2f2backed No | 20c | 4,727$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…a126backed No | 23c | 4,597$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 7c | 4,525$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.56 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed Yes | 39c | 4,474$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.28 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 32c | 4,438$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.11 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…8f6abacked Yes | 34c | 4,294$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 2c | 4,229$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ce…17dabacked Yes | 48c | 4,140$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked No | 68c | 4,123$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 68c | 4,100$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 17c | 4,057$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 74c | 4,040$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Yes | 26c | 3,927$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579e…eda1backed Yes | 44c | 3,900$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.78 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…739fbacked No | 20c | 3,880$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed No | 13c | 3,787$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…4386backed Yes | 40c | 3,749$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed No | 5c | 3,524$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 66c | 3,500$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.