TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2370…0e10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,238
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT1809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1 QB get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.95
Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.66
Will the Patriots make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.78
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.04
Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.82
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.24
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33,073.94
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+764.5%+$31,631.9
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,013Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+85.8%+$6,015.32
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,373.47
Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$319.93
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$975.31
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$731.34
Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$93.31
Will Kevin O'Connell win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.29
Will Sean Payton win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.37
Will Jared Verse win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+50.8%+$57.11
Will Quinyon Mitchell win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$82.71
Will Saquon Barkley win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.78
Will TJ Watt win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$699.77
Will another player win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.04
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+49.9%+$169.19
Will Bo Nix win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,356.64
Will Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$139.85
Will Patrick Surtain II win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$65.45
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT17225%43 W · 129 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,952.95
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+1,169.2%+$177.79
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.25
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+81.9%+$54.81
Will Trump jail Hillary Clinton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.82
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+62%+$325.52
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.23
Will Chip Roy announce he won't seek reelection?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.83
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$461.61
Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,501.85
Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.64
Trump declassifies Diddy list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.63
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.84
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$775.4
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.4
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,539.21
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.73
Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.94
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,339.31
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,575.64
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,991.02
Will Ivanka Trump be a member of the Trump administration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Will Ron DeSantis be a member of the Trump administration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$708.87
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT9721.6%21 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+221.5%+$1,006.57
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$341.98
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.71
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.97
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,137.41
Will Elena Lasconi win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.66
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$295.06
Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,821Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$1,373.94
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$83.64
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,425.7
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$533.49
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+77.2%+$76.35
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35,756.79
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.46
Canada election called before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$364.13
Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+64.3%+$76.34
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$590.77
Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.39
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.16
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,278.57
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$593.39
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.49
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+146.9%+$156.65
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,662.24
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST8220.7%17 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.24
Will Syria hold national elections before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$601.91
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.6
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$439.96
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$509.73
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,134.55
Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.68
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+55.2%+$414.58
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$721.71
Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,095.2
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+47.3%+$509.03
Will Syria hold national elections by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$63.7
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.15
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$328.14
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14,688.89
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,940.6
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21,601Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+41.9%+$9,052.21
Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$123.08
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$3,770.72
U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$994.72
Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50.27
Assad public appearance before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+25.1%+$1,120.82
Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$678.76
U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.39
US recognizes Syrian government in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.86
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT7919%15 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-63.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,312.7
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$518.61
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$416.43
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,809.98
Will MAGA reach $1b first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36.7
Will another Trump coin be first to reach $1b?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$181.48
No Trump coin reaches $1b?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$152.2
Will TREMP reach $1b first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.36
Will TRUMP reach $1b first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$455.34
Will Berachain launch a token in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,745.61
Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,452Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,236.79
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$779.95
Pump.fun banned in the US before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$69.19
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,363Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+33.2%+$2,777.2
Avail airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.31
$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,419Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+74.1%+$1,051.3
Aleo airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$784.18
Will $FWOG be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.92
Will $Mog be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$172.9
Will $GOAT be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.91
Will $MOODENG be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$153.92
Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+52.4%+$989.01
Will $BITCOIN be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.92
Will $NEIRO be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$121.08
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST6320.6%13 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75.91
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$257.34
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.53
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$270.01
Will 'September 5' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$91.06
Will 'A Different Man' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.01
Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$300.94
Will 'A Complete Unknown' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$73.88
Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$111.97
Will 'Gladiator 2' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will 'Challengers' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$68.74
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,559.7
Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$66.41
Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+135.5%+$212.25
Will another movie gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$891.71
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$587.62
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,351.67
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$116.4
James Norton announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.87
Rege-Jean Page announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$111.65
Another actor announced as next James Bond actor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$178.51
Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$92.07
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.58
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$519.07
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,161.71
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT6113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$248.13
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$168.85
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$590.75
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,455
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.78
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$612.14
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.23
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.33
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.09
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.29
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.14
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.62
Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+686.9%+$2,210.68
Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.54
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+69.7%+$69.11
Will Alexandre Sarr win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.63
Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.92
Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.36
Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.2
Will Anthony Davis win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will Bam Adebayo win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$304.69
Will Jalen Suggs win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.06
Will Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.33
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2025, EDT5824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+3,016.3%+$8,091.86
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,292.43
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+30.3%+$19.42
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,914.58
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$939Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$939.21
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$8,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$8,570.12
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.22
Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.25
Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$291.85
Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$70.36
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$3,580.85
Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,447Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+98.8%+$1,429.63
Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$262.94
Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$48.59
Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Trump Cabinet confirmation on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,619Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+30%+$485.73
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,876Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+61.5%+$1,154.78
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$2,973.2
Will Republicans have between 205 and 209 seats in House after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$20.72
Will Republicans have between 210 and 214 seats in House after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$31.4
Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+1,093.3%+$443.49
Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$984.02
Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$410.28
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$851.77
Will Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$359.81
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST5127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.86
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.04
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.78
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.69
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$677.47
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$629.53
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.52
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,139.36
Will Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+244.8%+$31.95
Will Powell say "price" 15 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,075.72
Will Powell say "growth" 8 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$87.72
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36.8
Will Powell say "deport" or "deportation" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27.3
Will Powell say "unemployment" 8 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.51
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,541.55
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+68.4%+$6,164.32
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$285.15
Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$15
Will Powell say "tariff" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+37%+$35.31
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.05
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$108.73
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$11,128.21
Will Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$146.64
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$73,585.13
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$184,053Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+70.5%+$129,701.68
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT4211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.15
Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$318.89
Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.97
Will another player be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.73
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+137%+$5,944.48
Will Ollie Watkins be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.38
Will Nicolas Jackson be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.68
Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$7,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,131.66
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61,820Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+70.5%+$43,582.65
Will Ipswich Town be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.51
Will Leicester City be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.15
Will Wolverhampton be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.56
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.67
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$8,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,745.53
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,460.62
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.71
Manchester United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$61.96
Will Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$266.67
Southampton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$37.76
Will Chelsea lead the EPL in points at midway point?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$312.54
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$397.94
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+413.8%+$1,499.14
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT392.6%1 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.71
Will China win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$454.53
China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$427.73
Another country wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.22
France wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.48
Japan wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$68.1
France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$97.42
Will Netherlands win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$138
Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+3,225%+$1,024.07
USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$513.3
Will another counrty win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$365.87
Will France win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$463.85
Will another country win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$85.64
Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$830.1
Will Belgium win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$110.54
Will Australia win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$137.69
Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,006.34
Will Erriyon Knighton (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will another athlete win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.46
Will Germany win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,647.05
Will Andre De Grasse (CAN) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$31
Will Zharnel Hughes (GBR) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.46
Will another athlete win Gold in 1500m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$38.33
Will Yared Nuguse (USA) win Gold in 1500m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$68.56
Will Timothy Cheruiyot (KEN) win Gold in 1500m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.81
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST3511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$48.45
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$274.53
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+469.9%+$183.78
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$314.14
Will Texas make the CFP National Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$99.51
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$137.67
Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,801.12
Will Georgia make the CFP National Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$122.4
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$197.47
Will Oregon make the CFP National Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+41.8%+$99.1
Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$144.85
Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$25.11
Clemson vs. Texasbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$165.88
Will Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$14.36
Will Ashton Jeanty win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$1,292.71
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,818Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+64.7%+$3,762.19
Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20.93
Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$17.33
Will Cam Ward win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$152.27
Will Jaxson Dart win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$48.85
Will Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$18.71
Will Dillon Gabriel win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$162.56
Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$285.89
Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$182.08
Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$13.87
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST3423.5%8 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 January hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16,761.65
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$125.65
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$234.34
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+47.6%+$293.44
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$637.21
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+120%+$1,705.98
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$171.41
Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$116.13
Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,847.3
Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,862.17
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$81.52
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$48.31
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+136.2%+$1,409.64
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$53.05
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,941Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+61.7%+$7,366.79
Will there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$794.19
Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$645.51
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.35-1.40°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$106.32
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,027Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+32.1%+$970.15
September temperature increase by between 1.23-1.28°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+114.7%+$1,080.02
September temperature increase by between 1.35-1.40°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$211.72
September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$826.29
September temperature increase by between 1.29-1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,049.61
September temperature increase by less than 1.17°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$174.76
September temperature increase by more than 1.40°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$121.34
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2024, EST329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$10.96
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$202.54
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$41.47
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$53.02
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times Nov 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$11.22
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+321.7%+$799.49
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$17.28
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$13.95
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$15.37
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$93.24
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.62
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT+397.2%+$561.14
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$214.17
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$89.82
Will Elon tweet 350-399 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$102.78
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$69.3
Will Elon tweet 150-199 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$64.94
Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.18
Trump posts 30-34 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+2,069.7%+$306.71
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.47
Trump posts between 5 and 9 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.69
Trump posts 10-19 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$57.8
Will Trump post 21-25 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.62
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$579
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+157.9%+$915.7
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.64
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,883.15
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$345.54
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,402.48
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$128.86
Crimean bridge hit before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$305.93
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28.08
Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+26.3%+$1,782.35
Ukraine election scheduled in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$26.25
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$572.19
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,967Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+46.9%+$2,799.21
Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$15,924.8
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,276Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+27.8%+$4,244.44
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$474.29
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$888.7
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$615.71
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$770.71
Belarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$98.68
Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$36.55
Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$347.73
Crimean bridge hit before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.09
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$91.2
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$33.11
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lana Del Rey divorce in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Selena Gomez married in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.97
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$90.98
Will 'Short n' Sweet' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36.07
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,058.4
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.45
Will 'Fortnight' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.58
Will 'TEXAS HOLD 'EM' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$105.46
Will 'Please Please Please' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$29.77
Will 'Good Luck, Babe!' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.38
Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+525%+$172.2
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+212.5%+$134.41
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.62
Will 'Good Luck, Babe!' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will 'TEXAS HOLD 'EM' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.78
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+130.3%+$1,056.62
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$271.72
Will Beyonce be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+417.3%+$421.05
Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$3,438.99
New Diddy charges before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$265.99
Diddy sex tape released before November? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$307.43
Will Lana Del Rey dump her boyfriend before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.55
Kanye West retires in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.02
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$885.72
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.77
Google forced to sell Chrome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.33
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$24.37
Suchir Balaji foul play determined before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.57
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+65.6%+$23.27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+62.8%+$448.59
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$47.66
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$299.18
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+33.7%+$764.61
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,826.85
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,815Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+36.4%+$1,754.52
GPT-5 released in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,251.85
Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,756Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+61.4%+$1,692.72
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$110.68
Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$232.88
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$20.6
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$660.41
GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$191.45
ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$510.96
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins sale announced before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.65
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,238.13
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+241.4%+$724.66
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+539.2%+$590.73
Will the Yankees win the World Series 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$35.31
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$94.63
Will the New York Mets win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,314.75
Will the New York Mets win the National League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.62
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$231.66
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the American League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$96.64
Will the Detroit Tigers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$661.2
Will the San Diego Padres win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$408.46
Will the San Diego Padres win the National League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$257.52
Will the Kansas City Royals win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$85.02
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.17
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$132.21
Will the Atlanta Braves win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$350.1
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$144.03
Will the Minnesota Twins win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will the Seattle Mariners win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$155.51
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-63.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.64
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.33
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+449%+$89.52
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.03
Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.79
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.58
Will Fenerbahce win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.57
Will Olympiacos win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.02
Will Roma win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.38
Will Anderlecht win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.28
Will Galatasaray win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$115.18
Will Porto win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80.32
Will Besiktas win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$39.68
Will Nice win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Fritz win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$103.56
Will another player win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+426.3%+$73.71
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+214.8%+$144
Will Daniil Medvedev win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.65
Will Iga Swiatek win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.41
Will Qinwen Zheng win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$93.4
Will Coco Gauff win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$159.98
Will Ben Shelton win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will Naomi Osaka win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will Danielle Rose Collins win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will another athlete win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$134.13
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.25
Will Daniil Medvedev (AIN) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$157.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,130.58
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+669.5%+$3,919.32
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,607.67
Will Weibo Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,057.54
Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$40.61
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$348.88
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,359.44
Will LNG Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$830.29
Will Team Liquid win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$37.32
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$360.6
Will Dplus KIA win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$122.03
Will Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1225%3 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$10,396.89
Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$32.53
Will Georgia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will India win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$30.78
Will India win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$15.86
Will the United States win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will another team win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.59
Will Alireza Firouzja win the Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$74.37
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$133.64
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2024, EDT+279.7%+$219.93
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2024 Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2024 Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+326.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+5,015%+$3,455.99
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.64
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.61
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.83
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.17
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.91
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.12
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.71
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$64.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-77.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+130.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dern vs. Ribasbacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+156.4%+$80.83
Ponzinibbio vs. Harrisbacked Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$354.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,905Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+155.1%+$2,956.2
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,093.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$47.9
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,773.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$340.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.