Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5501ab202eeefb162c50ab64afb8d7e8d460a77c62c8d5fcb47f8bdee3eea75c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 3c | 17,814$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.86 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…50e6backed No | 3c | 10,101$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 2c | 8,214$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 3c | 7,978$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed No | 2c | 7,871$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 18c | 5,727$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.94 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…7538backed No | 1c | 5,452$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 60c | 5,009$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.37 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 4,520$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 68c | 3,131$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.62 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked No | 36c | 2,769$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…c5c1backed No | 39c | 2,623$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 34c | 2,159$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.6 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…44c8backed No | 1c | 1,930$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 70c | 1,900$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 31c | 1,866$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.53 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 3c | 1,820$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes | 62c | 1,800$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed No | 34c | 1,755$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.21 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 32c | 1,695$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 70c | 1,677$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.1 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…b5a6backed No | 1c | 1,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 1c | 1,455$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 30c | 1,454$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.46 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 25c | 1,315$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…bad1backed No | 33c | 1,258$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 64c | 1,214$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…61c8backed No | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…c5f9backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…239ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7882…8ba3backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x281b…f540backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f7…b90abacked No | 7c | 932.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked No | 2c | 882$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked No | 27c | 831.57$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 41c | 800.34$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.14 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 25c | 792.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked Yes | 71c | 708.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 57c | 622.21$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.17 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 30c | 604.48$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.34 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…eb35backed No | 2c | 596.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…5d20backed No | 38c | 522.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 7c | 512.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 5c | 469.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 10c | 463.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…99c9backed Yes | 65c | 449.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 44c | 440.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed No | 4c | 417.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…c9c3backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 63c | 393.03$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…2404backed No | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 37c | 298.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b7…9ae4backed No | 11c | 277.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +89%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 24c | 264.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 10c | 258.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked No | 37c | 239.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 66c | 228$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked No | 29c | 219.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed Yes | 79c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…7d95backed No | 7c | 199.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 65c | 181.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 39c | 171.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 36c | 170.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 25c | 166.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 25c | 160.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 68c | 158.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…d528backed No | 36c | 156.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 29cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed Yes | 67c | 150.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8114backed No | 40c | 136.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f17…e379backed Yes | 72c | 134.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…e4d2backed No | 40c | 128.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 35c | 115.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…d3b7backed No | 13c | 114.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…494cbacked No | 36c | 111.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…3332backed Yes | 69c | 109.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…1e13backed No | 32c | 106.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…4ec0backed No | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…c338backed No | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…573fbacked Yes | 72c | 102.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…e930backed No | 34c | 102.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a1…5928backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6624…1e16backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…275bbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…a2c8backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked No | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked No | 30c | 99.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed No | 35c | 99.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 69c | 98.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x757a…0e81backed No | 38c | 97.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…d5fabacked Yes | 56c | 79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.