TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb678…f74d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$41.58
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25.3
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.2
NBA Finals G4: Will SGA score 34+ points against the Pacers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+300%+$71.25
Will Tyrese Haliburton score 23+ points against the Knicks? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.65
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Jazz vs. Timberwolvesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.97
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+128.3%+$14.05
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.55
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+27.5%+$3.68
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+572.6%+$69.01
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.51
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+140.3%+$228.89
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.35
Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.69
Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.9
Israel strikes Iran before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.35
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$48.4
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+70.5%+$111.65
Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31.92
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.13
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$227.24
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$208.91
All 18 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will the Dallas Wings win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.93
Wings vs Sparksbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Liberty vs Sparksbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$35.2
Valkyries vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$14
Lynx vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$82
Sun vs Stormbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.14
Wings vs Mercurybacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.82
Aces vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.11
Mercury vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+162.7%+$84.23
Aces vs Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$25.92
Dream vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+332.1%+$53.79
Mercury vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Mystics vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
WNBA: Will Angel Reese miss her first shot vs. Mystics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Mercury vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+572.3%+$68.1
Will Elon register the America Party before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+195.9%+$33.1
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon apologize to Trump before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.29
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.55
Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$20.22
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+482%+$91.1
Will the US sanction Ukraine before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.79
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+212.5%+$40.8
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.93
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
Will the Raiders draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.39
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+90.5%+$14.25
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$44.55
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$74.81
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$85.2
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$31.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$12.2
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.68
Phillies vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Brewers vs. Marlinsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$26.79
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+118.3%+$13.55
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ole Miss (-51.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$29.78
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trudeau resign by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$66.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Southampton win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Navarro (W)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Algeria vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Tech Scarlet Hawks vs. Indiana State Sycamoresbacked Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25%+$35.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Will Usman win by submission? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Latvia vs Turkeybacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xi Jinping seen in public before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$299.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$86.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.