TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Phillies vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Phillies, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,885 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Phillies41c190,556$77,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,563.5810844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Giants60c54,399$32,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,759.860451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants59c44,444$26,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,222.0460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Giants59c37,036$21,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,184.9612650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Giants59c16,984$10,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,963.4414048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants59c16,803$9,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,889.1941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Giants59c12,350$7,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,063.750852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants17c6,907$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,747.672,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Giants11c6,720$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,980.823545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants55c5,920$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.611,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants59c5,488$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.322,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Phillies40c5,222$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.0195850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Giants69c5,050$3,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.3186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7225…293abacked Phillies41c4,876$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.214047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Giants52c4,134$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.831,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Phillies49c4,099$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Giants28c3,696$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.941,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf513…8297backed Phillies71c3,099$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants63c3,089$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.3869249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants48c2,884$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.749,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Phillies33c2,830$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.0197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies41c2,683$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Phillies43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07531346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Giants21c2,411$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.4839436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants16c2,269$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.026,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Phillies41c2,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Giants59c1,950$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Giants57c1,901$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.4327953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Giants11c1,900$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.0327733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Giants60c1,810$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b2…f8d4backed Phillies41c1,714$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8655…a314backed Giants59c1,712$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Giants58c1,712$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.872437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies4c1,652$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.545053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9680…23bdbacked Phillies41c1,558$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Giants59c1,500$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.2624248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d8…5744backed Giants60c1,492$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.82330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cc9…50fabacked Giants59c1,242$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies40c1,217$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.0226847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Phillies48c1,117$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.3979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Giants58c1,050$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44114747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Giants7c1,010$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.73119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Phillies40c1,009$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.589837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbabc…1606backed Giants59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Phillies42c983.76$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.116450%32 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Phillies60c817.84$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x372f…3b19backed Phillies41c779$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Giants65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2380955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04fd…c75cbacked Giants60c740$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Phillies43c714.37$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30722546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6103…7a65backed Giants60c707.97$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.591872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Giants13c672.8$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.0415644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants31c592.54$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.931,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Phillies40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Giants70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1113359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants61c492.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8932852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2822…9ab9backed Giants60c490$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Phillies31c488.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Phillies50c434.22$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8532754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Giants53c432.56$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1241747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb14b…44bdbacked Giants69c400$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.891070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants56c393.51$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Giants30c376.4$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.741751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Giants59c370$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.78652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Phillies43c337.7$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.994938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Phillies41c330.03$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.341,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bba…62c1backed Phillies32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Giants55c310.97$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9419452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Giants70c305.7$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.713666.7%24 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Giants74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Phillies42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Giants59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12331145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies35c285.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Phillies41c284.83$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.785,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ee…7ad7backed Giants24c282.91$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.84610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Giants56c266.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2214444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Giants57c266$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.389245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Phillies50c262.83$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6734164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants59c252.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.432,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Phillies41c244$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0440548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Phillies42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies42c236.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.271,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Giants59c228.81$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Giants11c199.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4638741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Giants60c196.88$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7537857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants58c174$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.082,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies51c172.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.664,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9045…321abacked Giants26c168.42$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Phillies75c167.05$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12557545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants63c157.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7539160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Giants60c151.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6738455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x305a…a173backed Giants67c150.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.618100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Phillies43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Giants58c133.91$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.245945.8%27 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd10…f4bcbacked Giants60c131.83$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.732661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Giants59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.216347.2%77 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.