TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Spurs, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$427,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$451,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans53c19,296$10,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,064.9147656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Spurs46c18,000$8,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,28047848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Spurs29c14,053$4,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,045.622049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Spurs38c13,386$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,051.9934532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans52c12,367$6,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,955.651,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Spurs53c6,701$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.2512540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans51c6,598$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.9333931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans47c5,818$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.3739843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Spurs56c5,555$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.0428347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans47c5,133$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.451,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Spurs0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Spurs44c4,543$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e2…721bbacked Pelicans70c4,507$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.032245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Spurs48c4,063$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.3925833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Pelicans52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92017546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Spurs47c3,859$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.920238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Spurs47c3,858$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8008343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Spurs30c3,780$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.443653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans53c3,384$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.321,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00db…80dabacked Spurs42c3,145$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.742441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Spurs2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs1c3,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans36c2,783$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.713,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Spurs12c2,700$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Spurs49c2,452$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Spurs0c2,435$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.857502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Spurs53c2,345$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.956841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans53c2,190$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.91,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Pelicans53c2,125$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.9818354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Spurs37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Spurs69c1,924$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.177163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pelicans54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8527546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs49c1,763$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.2750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Spurs1c1,601$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0137627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Spurs79c1,247$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Pelicans33c1,217$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.6427731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Spurs7c1,123$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6819231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs62c1,119$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.2545135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans54c1,101$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.462,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Spurs42c1,080$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.0647229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Pelicans54c1,075$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.530351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans53c1,068$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.9761345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Spurs47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Spurs2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Spurs48c999.89$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9536434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans54c926$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.961,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Spurs3c887$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.791,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans53c846$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.8487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf877…e9e0backed Pelicans36c843.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.17450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Spurs66c840.91$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fda…01d5backed Spurs48c821.96$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.431560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pelicans43c813.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.958434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs45c811.92$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Pelicans50c807.88$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0419448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Spurs49c799.96$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.9893041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Spurs47c750.57$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Spurs74c750$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55517256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd87…f55ebacked Spurs80c729.39$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.41757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs47c705$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.485542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Pelicans52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.081952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Spurs5c615.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318714.9%13 W · 74 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Spurs6c588.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38482.1%1 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Spurs9c585.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans32c556.56$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb9…ee09backed Spurs48c507.67$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.684055%22 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Spurs49c501.22$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.64854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1029…56c1backed Spurs43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x73f7…cc19backed Spurs42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ee…c58fbacked Pelicans60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42f…420fbacked Spurs43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf44c…57dfbacked Spurs43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc455…d59cbacked Spurs41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6b…1318backed Spurs47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf4e…09b7backed Pelicans57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8824…7fa6backed Spurs43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bd…5765backed Spurs41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d1…52cebacked Spurs38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548f…abd6backed Spurs35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac1…e25ebacked Spurs40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb15d…0b88backed Pelicans57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e32…2e01backed Pelicans53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff7…d8d0backed Spurs43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152425%6 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2a1…d1eebacked Pelicans59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ab1…93f4backed Pelicans58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102763%17 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbfb…ec31backed Spurs42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e0…be7fbacked Spurs41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e8…20fcbacked Spurs43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3446…a4a6backed Pelicans53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352540%10 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b02…7320backed Pelicans57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb0a…e155backed Spurs41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b60…6833backed Pelicans57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152536%9 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52aa…4c5cbacked Pelicans57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2957…1373backed Pelicans60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002425%6 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe7f…1445backed Pelicans57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c8…417fbacked Spurs40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34a…c21bbacked Spurs40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa040…da02backed Spurs43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.