TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f79…1db4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT16838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.79
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,358Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37.2%+$877.44
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+525%+$525
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+156.5%+$469.41
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$83.05
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$76.9
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+118.3%+$712.15
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+43.1%+$85.23
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$61.62
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+32.7%+$339.98
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+151%+$342.91
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$95.91
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+323.1%+$840
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST3148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$186
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$48.52
Ducks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+56.3%+$54.39
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$771.98
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$313.49
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$195
Ducks vs. Bruinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$174
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+212.5%+$382.5
Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$958.03
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,785.63
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$121.64
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+122.5%+$173.94
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$191.91
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$159.88
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$147.4
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$141.9
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$181.02
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+107.8%+$1,227.61
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+61.8%+$436.79
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+45.2%+$226.94
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$126.24
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,595.74
Golden Knights vs. Devilsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+30.8%+$379.11
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,378Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+43.2%+$595.16
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$535.71
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+98.9%+$352.16
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartalbacked Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$216.77
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Coleman Wongbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,831Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+27.6%+$505.24
Brisbane International: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Pegulabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$263.97
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$638.95
Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbertbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+93.3%+$298.26
Brisbane International: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paulbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+61.7%+$120.18
ASB Classic: Francesca Jones vs Emma Navarrobacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+134%+$68.71
Brisbane International: Jiri Lehecka vs Tomas Machacbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+48.5%+$280.84
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Alejandro Tabilo vs Luca Van Asschebacked Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$227.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+53%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$251.59
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$77.55
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+156.4%+$294
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$183
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$267.57
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-71.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.6%+$108.1
Counter-Strike: ALLINNERS vs DEPO (BO3)backed DEPO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+150.3%+$600.4
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$128.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs BAIYAWAK (BO3)backed BAIYAWAK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$445.4
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$180
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$192.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$65.98
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$146.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Usyk KO Tyson Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$1,073.52
Will Tyson Fury KO Oleksandr Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$1,090.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wyoming vs. Hawaiibacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,178.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brann win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,440.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$362.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$318.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.