MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a8da15627f2c9a6d86a89eee04ec3078019e6b812d4ea1d232a9aaa4426a04a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 43c | 39,433$16,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,955.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 55c | 34,484$18,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,644.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 20,152$11,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,710.19 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked Red Sox | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,543.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 74c | 11,902$8,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,794.17 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 48c | 10,438$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.31 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Orioles | 44c | 8,832$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 43c | 4,404$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.73 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 23c | 3,300$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Orioles | 53c | 3,104$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.33 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 53c | 3,068$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Orioles | 44c | 3,012$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.39 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Orioles | 41c | 2,910$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.73 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 44c | 2,752$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 42c | 2,517$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.48 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Orioles | 42c | 2,343$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.29 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Red Sox | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 1,819$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.39 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,392$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.86 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 38c | 1,338$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.03 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.79 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,147$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Orioles | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,114$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Red Sox | 56c | 1,038$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.9 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Orioles | 43c | 1,020$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Orioles | 44c | 1,015$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Red Sox | 62c | 999.99$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Red Sox | 52c | 996.31$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…ee4fbacked Red Sox | 53c | 953.91$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 41c | 867.34$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.61 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Red Sox | 57c | 842.11$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.11 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Red Sox | 54c | 839.98$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.59 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox | 53c | 800$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.26 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Red Sox | 52c | 780.41$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.41 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 45c | 760.7$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Red Sox | 52c | 738.96$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Orioles | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 44c | 681$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Orioles | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Orioles | 38c | 602.89$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Red Sox | 53c | 416.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Orioles | 58c | 414.09$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.17 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Orioles | 39c | 406.48$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Orioles | 40c | 404.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Red Sox | 63c | 389.4$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 72c | 370$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 52c | 363.82$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Red Sox | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Orioles | 52c | 324.52$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 43c | 300.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Red Sox | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Red Sox | 56c | 293.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 46c | 288.19$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 50c | 281.81$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Red Sox | 49c | 278.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox | 56c | 272.77$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.02 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Orioles | 52c | 270$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Red Sox | 71c | 258.3$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Orioles | 76c | 227.62$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Red Sox | 56c | 216.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 56c | 215.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Red Sox | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Red Sox | 53c | 189.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Red Sox | 57c | 176.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Red Sox | 47c | 167.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 56c | 167$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Orioles | 37c | 162.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Red Sox | 26c | 160$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 42c | 136.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Orioles | 45c | 135$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Orioles | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Red Sox | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Red Sox | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Red Sox | 57c | 122.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Orioles | 43c | 120.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Orioles | 59c | 120.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Orioles | 75c | 108.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Red Sox | 59c | 105.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Red Sox | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Orioles | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Red Sox | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Orioles | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Orioles | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 58c | 99.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Orioles | 76c | 98.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Red Sox | 57c | 94.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Sox | 35c | 91.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Oriolesthis page
- Red Sox vs. Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.