TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06b2…9f35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST3450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$471.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+172.1%+$471.83
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.77
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+146.3%+$118.8
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.72
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$476.86
Will Tottenham vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.3
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$423.18
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$757.55
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.09
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,741.61
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+75.7%+$289.01
Will Everton win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.54
Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$72.53
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,014Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$645.78
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+124.8%+$372.47
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,083.88
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.06
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+138.3%+$1,565.27
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$15.58
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.6
Will Brighton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,328.4
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$363.08
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,328Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$1,647.22
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Almaty Open: Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$594.75
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbertbacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.75
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$376.21
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.06
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$443.96
European Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.74
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$467.24
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$919.38
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$551.74
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.22
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,007Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+120.3%+$2,415.59
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,203.67
US Open: Lloyd Harris vs Taylor Fritzbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.08
ATP Cincinnati - Tiafoe vs. Rune backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.84
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Cazauxbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,656Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+26%+$1,212.78
ATP Kitzbuhel – Cazaux vs. Rinderknechbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+62%+$792.46
ATP Umag – Taberner vs. De Jongbacked De Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,884
ATP Umag – Ruiz vs. Carabellibacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+110.7%+$735.48
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$610.63
All 20 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$3.89
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$18.42
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.4
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.18
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$631.4
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.15
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$412.11
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,893.38
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$799.98
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.33
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$63.16
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.82
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,784Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+58.1%+$2,777.43
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.72
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,502.08
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$794.04
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,485.38
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$966.56
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.38
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$407
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$579.6
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,640
Titans vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$17.76
Panthers vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$384.45
Bengals vs. Browns: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$24.44
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,315Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+94.7%+$5,035.27
Vikings vs. Titans backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+56.4%+$48.65
Chargers vs. 49ersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.59
Bills vs. Buccaneersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+92.5%+$652.13
Jaguars vs. Dolphins backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.57
Rams vs. Browns backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$36.97
Broncos vs. Saints backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$352.95
Ravens vs. Commanders backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+64.4%+$54.84
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+85.7%+$461.43
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$677.08
Rays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$377.91
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+108.1%+$1,104.26
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$675.15
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.49
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.53
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,023.3
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,665Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+71.7%+$5,499
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$906.87
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,235.76
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$677.21
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+92.6%+$421.17
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$375.61
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$129.36
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+177.4%+$767.48
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+27%+$14.44
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.14
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+31%+$16.1
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$527.73
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+114.7%+$268.22
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$35.98
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.55
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+151.2%+$580.21
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+121%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+200.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$555.71
Liberty vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Palmer Luckey Erebor Bank chartered in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+100.2%+$264.75
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,489Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+126.6%+$3,151.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$42.92
Will Pakistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$803.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$123.5
Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,316.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+247.6%+$184.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.