Tennis · resolved market
ATP Umag – Taberner vs. De Jong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x869b21d3a69aa11bf65fd064377b40aca5101b2049fde1ef0ca2d42599a8e3c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tabernerof Taberner, De Jong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Taberner | 34c | 5,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked De Jong | 66c | 3,790$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed De Jong | 67c | 2,800$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Taberner | 34c | 2,079$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.41 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed De Jong | 67c | 1,663$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.27 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked De Jong | 67c | 1,437$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.28 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Taberner | 33c | 1,199$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.02 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Taberner | 34c | 800$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327c…9a81backed De Jong | 68c | 770$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…abafbacked Taberner | 32c | 505$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…b9e1backed Taberner | 32c | 495$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Taberner | 30c | 380$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed De Jong | 66c | 327$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed De Jong | 68c | 317$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.56 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Taberner | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Taberner | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Taberner | 32c | 199.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Taberner | 70c | 176.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed De Jong | 60c | 154.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Taberner | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1902…90d6backed De Jong | 68c | 130$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4603…d9bcbacked De Jong | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Taberner | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Taberner | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Taberner | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Taberner | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…5c98backed De Jong | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.