TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa75c…895e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
541
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Music, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Music at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT16352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.1
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.17
Will Junior Caminero record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will CJ Abrams record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Bobby Witt Jr. record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Yordan Alvarez record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Alex Bregman hit a home run at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will there be 3+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will the furthest home run at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby travel 500+ Feet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.16
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$8.78
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.37
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$10.8
Will Willson Contreras advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jordan Walker advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+289.6%+$111.5
Will Junior Caminero advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$76.5
Will Jac Caglianone advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Jac Caglianone advance to the semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$95.94
Will Bryce Harper advance to the semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.49
Will Vahn Lackey be drafted in the top 3 in the 2026 MLB Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinosbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.72
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.89
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giantsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.18
KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wizbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigersbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+149%+$331.68
KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wizbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$79.98
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.15
Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.31
Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$4.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$909.19
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.57
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.5
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Oscar Bobb score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.59
Will 7+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
Will Fabián Ruiz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$42.22
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+245.1%+$277.8
Will Ricardo Pepi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$22.7
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.96
Will Weston McKennie score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$13.77
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT7347.9%35 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.92
Will Cameron Boozer be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$63.2
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$130.42
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.01
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,883Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,066.47
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,558.6
Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$342.92
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.2
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.28
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$2,153.3
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37.52
Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$945.54
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$4,380
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$389.47
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$829.48
Grizzlies vs. Hornetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.7
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$554.6
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$453.43
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,166.82
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$2,329.6
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$396.25
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST3956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,546.14
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$401.7
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,639.91
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,744Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$1,056
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,898Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$3,402
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,900
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$563.01
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$777
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,530Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$2,070
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,380Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$1,620
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$808.32
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,776Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$624
Cowboys vs. Jets: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$826.8
Ravens vs. Commanders backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.05
Eagles vs. Jets backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,555.5
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$953.06
Chiefs vs. Cardinals backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$336.96
Commanders vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$209.26
Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 RB, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.87
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.47
NFL Draft: 1. Ward 2. Hunter 3. Carter 4. Campbell backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$45.22
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,230.84
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$294.56
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$520.8
Will there be 676-700 points scored NFL Week 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$17.03
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$35.35
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.16
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$41.33
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+27%+$35.02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.84
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.89
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.87
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.69
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.09
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of July 6 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.35
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.02
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$45.74
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$9.55
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+576.7%+$709.42
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+52%+$90.69
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$6.37
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,698Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+77.4%+$1,313.94
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,299.34
Will Kim Kyong-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Oh Se-hoon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Hong Joon-pyo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Kim Dong-yeon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Won Hee-ryong win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Poland Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.13
Which party wins the most primary votes in Australian election?backed Labor Party · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$50.4
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.61
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$109
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$702.15
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$336.79
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.48
Will the People's Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 21 and 25 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.75
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,171.26
Will LVŽS win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$159.57
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23.13
Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.17
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Laos before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Pakistan before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+113.4%+$12.22
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Bangladesh before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$16.6
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$701.24
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+150%+$1,800
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$450.15
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$135.89
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$170
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$523.36
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$325.3
Will Trump show up for debate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
All 16 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$382.8
Storm vs. Mysticsbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$83.6
Liberty vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$285
Lynx vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$616.54
Storm vs Wingsbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$253.69
Dream vs Valkyriesbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,472Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$864.56
Lynx vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.53
Storm vs Skybacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$305.59
Liberty vs Dreambacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$751.82
Sparks vs Acesbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+400%+$644
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160.1
Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$201.36
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$159.84
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$184.8
Utah vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$235.32
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$159.6
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,943.65
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,548Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$1,032
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,019.99
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$426.5
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$767.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$37.95
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.58
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+209.1%+$90.66
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$16.23
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$149.81
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$114.9
Will Finland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.51
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$118.9
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be 600k or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.29
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$138.63
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$55.05
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+75.9%+$161.75
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.65
Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$13.75
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-74.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.69
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,951.91
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$216.35
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$172.42
Israel military action against Iran in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.26
US military action against Iran in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.22
Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-70.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.27
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$96.77
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$67.34
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+34%+$76.33
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$97.81
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Democrats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$1,229.77
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Sinners' gross between $49m and $54m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will 'Sinners' gross between $44m and $49m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will 'Sinners' gross less than $44m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$15.62
Will Gaitok die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.82
Will Chelsea die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.94
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$170.76
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.93
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.5
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$110.24
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$49.98
SIUE Cougars vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$212.1
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$340
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$746.76
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,336
All 7 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$67
Will Trump tweet 0 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT+25%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
Will Liverpool beat Wolves?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$652.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+711.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+711.5%+$315.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Annecy achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.