Ukraine · resolved market
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43c3c982e6660b4bcf68aa3147b1108bd8573b2c0efd464115b66eba6c4e033a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $861,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $872,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $861,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 2c | 45,278$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.86 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…5917backed No | 5c | 43,026$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…d3e7backed No | 16c | 39,884$6,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,380.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…61fdbacked No | 15c | 22,208$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 5c | 18,416$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.37 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ed…710ebacked No | 4c | 16,318$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 14c | 16,018$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.45 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed No | 2c | 13,471$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.83 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 0c | 11,332$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +152%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 7c | 10,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked No | 8c | 9,842$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…1c97backed No | 5c | 9,642$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…5333backed No | 4c | 9,628$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 4c | 9,467$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed No | 2c | 9,250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ed…dc1abacked No | 5c | 8,998$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 8,540$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…665bbacked No | 3c | 7,800$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…7f8dbacked No | 26c | 7,105$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…741bbacked No | 12c | 6,876$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…2254backed No | 16c | 6,708$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…42eebacked No | 3c | 6,192$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…fce2backed No | 18c | 6,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 9c | 5,350$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f5d6backed No | 21c | 4,724$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540b…e4e7backed No | 20c | 4,515$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…aa81backed No | 10c | 4,506$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…67a9backed No | 19c | 4,292$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…b961backed No | 5c | 4,190$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 2c | 3,971$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 18c | 3,893$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…7ca8backed No | 4c | 3,880$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fd83backed No | 21c | 3,802$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 4c | 3,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…26ecbacked No | 3c | 3,376$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 80c | 3,284$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…741abacked No | 5c | 3,268$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…5b41backed No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 5c | 2,840$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…59fdbacked No | 10c | 2,675$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 11c | 2,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…dbbebacked No | 4c | 2,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…4ec4backed No | 4c | 2,488$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 77c | 2,400$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…5f30backed No | 4c | 2,347$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…1857backed No | 23c | 2,311$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…b421backed Yes | 79c | 2,110$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…2b04backed No | 25c | 2,087$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…e85bbacked No | 10c | 2,003$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed No | 18c | 1,915$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed No | 18c | 1,755$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329a…1185backed No | 18c | 1,750$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 1c | 1,723$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…be54backed No | 6c | 1,666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe582…8836backed No | 4c | 1,637$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 11c | 1,616$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…e7eebacked No | 10c | 1,583$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…d9e0backed Yes | 77c | 1,558$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46de…1162backed No | 1c | 1,550$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…3ea0backed No | 19c | 1,527$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 79c | 1,494$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…06f1backed No | 3c | 1,480$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…bfd6backed No | 19c | 1,467$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…ff81backed No | 21c | 1,426$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed No | 30c | 1,316$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 17c | 1,200$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa194…971fbacked No | 21c | 1,182$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab5…9ac3backed No | 4c | 1,175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 13c | 1,153$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…4438backed No | 16c | 1,135$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…d0a8backed No | 18c | 1,112$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…eca9backed No | 4c | 1,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…1eeabacked No | 6c | 1,098$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…0ff3backed No | 19c | 1,070$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…b98cbacked No | 20c | 1,069$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…2e52backed No | 22c | 1,046$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 16c | 1,003$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…eaacbacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…df04backed No | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…7274backed No | 13c | 999.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked No | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba21…08fbbacked No | 22c | 979.75$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…ea48backed No | 6c | 890.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…1748backed No | 4c | 888.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed No | 15c | 884$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…48cdbacked No | 3c | 856.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked No | 4c | 841.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…169dbacked No | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb50…2e5abacked No | 5c | 788.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3af…9fe8backed No | 13c | 765.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 18c | 764.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes | 78c | 759.67$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed No | 7c | 725$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed No | 16c | 723.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1459…ab65backed No | 7c | 715$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.