TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf8cc…5a82

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
327
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst F1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5724.6%14 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+726.4%+$6,326.66
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$2,260.86
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,892.02
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$71.76
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,667.89
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$493.68
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,260
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$225.29
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,106.94
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$4,175.02
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,912.19
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13,250
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,983.51
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,204.33
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,963.1
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,835.24
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8,800
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14,400
Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$9,023.82
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,795Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,795.07
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$216.2
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$5,880
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$373.49
Spread: Ravens (-13.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$257.4
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$5,100
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$4,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$4,009.45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$4,531.47
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$186.56
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,260
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$6,329.93
Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,510Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.1%+$1,439.93
Will Donald Trump be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,825.98
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,007.02
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,570
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$399
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$153.7
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$9,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$9,919.92
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,573.76
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,948Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+184%+$14,624.07
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$7,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$7,105.29
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,635.25
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,528Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+107.4%+$15,596.86
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$9,259.98
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14,880.96
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$3,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,439.09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$490
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$192.4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$327.79
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2516%4 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,884.3
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,791Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+906.8%+$43,446.81
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.5
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.91
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,917
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.85
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,898.79
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,888.68
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$208.47
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,735.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$5,653Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+1,812.3%+$102,451.51
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$4,199.86
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$7,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,008.86
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.11
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$122.13
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,176.49
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$7,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,981
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,118.39
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,696.64
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,606.85
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,176.93
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.42
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$194.55
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$7,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$7,238.18
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,328.41
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2313%3 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,580
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11,852Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+542.8%+$64,324.74
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,323.78
Harry Kane: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.34
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,875
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.97
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,189.99
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,383.51
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,859.99
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,019.01
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.83
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.87
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,300
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$8,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,354.79
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180.5
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$381.76
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,099.86
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,849.99
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,800
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,381.67
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,045.14
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$5,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$5,820
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$620.94
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$8,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$8,481.7
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13,569.99
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$6,445Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+285.5%+$18,401.53
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,696.56
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,489.87
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,760Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$3,240
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.63
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,550
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$8,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,077.75
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,658.68
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$4,507.1
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,673Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+47.9%+$4,154.47
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,883Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+28.2%+$813.17
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$641.49
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,944Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+443%+$8,609.42
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+998.9%+$22,724.98
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,541.54
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$5,099.66
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210.32
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.52
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.73
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.81
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.04
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.14
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.5
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$5,300
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,151.99
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,667Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+414.3%+$11,046.59
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$839.25
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.87
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,003.48
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.64
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.39
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,699.93
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,579.99
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$6,688.23
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,411.96
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$9,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,007.68
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$9,200.8
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$813.26
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,978.15
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.85
Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$177.77
Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+212.5%+$112.8
Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+291.2%+$268.69
Will France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+89.8%+$323.29
Will Spain win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$449.11
Will Egypt win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.49
Will Canada win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$153.32
Will Japan win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$86.77
Will Japan win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$199.07
All 19 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-76.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.24
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.55
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$968.41
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,999.98
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,596.17
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$5,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$5,418.26
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22,076Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.2%+$20,359.31
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$778.21
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,877.11
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.42
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$429.44
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$711.09
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$702.71
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,929Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$1,515.35
Will Max Verstappen win the Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$606.59
Will Oscar Piastri win the Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$125.52
All 16 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+32.9%+$803.55
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,512Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+27.5%+$691.56
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,207.3
Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$386.35
Olympic Men’s Basketball: Germany vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,833Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$1,499.85
Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$151.74
Will Germany win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$136.66
Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$109.83
Will Australia win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$188.75
Will Greece win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$67.43
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,966.47
Will Ariarne Titmus (AUS) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$217.73
Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,878.48
Will Simone Biles (USA) win Gold in Women’s Individual All-Around Gymnastics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$970.8
Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympicsbacked Biden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$246.42
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick36cpaid+76.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,762Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$5,884
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,051Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$3,208.4
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,283Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$6,699.31
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,789.3
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,590
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$4,720
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$39.16
Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+354.5%+$794.56
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,533Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$688.82
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$440.1
Will Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+176.7%+$400.37
Will Djokovic win a gold medal in Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+238%+$390.01
Will Nadal win a gold medal in Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$450
All 14 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$7,269.67
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$6,816.05
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10,738.36
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$7,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$7,415.72
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,605.61
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,320
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,760
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12,068.43
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$1,050
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+42.1%+$8,299.95
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$137,001Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+61.2%+$83,787.37
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid+89.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,775Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$1,364.84
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$4,400
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$136.67
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$5,274.34
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,920
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$169.85
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$12,259.99
Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+29.7%+$226.14
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+1,910.9%+$366.64
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$411.06
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$407.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$496.08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83.9%+$6,342.94
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,792Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29%+$1,681.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,840Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+463.4%+$13,160
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$5,490
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$4,372.85
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,760
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$292
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,449.4
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$324
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,069.98
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.04
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,717.04
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$6,080
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,050
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$382.23
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$540
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14,063.11
Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,919Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$4,079.09
Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$181.5
O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$3,760
Spread: USC (-6.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Iowa vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$111.69
All 6 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-69.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$1,571.01
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,987.1
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$784.66
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$846.8
Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$2,520.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$6,400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$92.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 July hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,565.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.