Music · resolved market
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bcffe36d01cf51c018ec3e281285e2748dc7e896df72f8faf4a886cc081571f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 18c | 15,965$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.23 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 15c | 12,741$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 79c | 4,292$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.27 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 22c | 3,500$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 21c | 2,747$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.52 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 15c | 2,548$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1afb…e524backed Yes | 80c | 1,995$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 16c | 1,805$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.42 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 17c | 1,679$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 78c | 1,672$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 16c | 1,635$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.14 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 18c | 1,600$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 20c | 1,377$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.23 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 79c | 1,304$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 16c | 1,232$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 78c | 1,202$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.39 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 19c | 1,109$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 17c | 1,065$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 21c | 980$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…79f7backed Yes | 79c | 951.85$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…5ae0backed Yes | 79c | 785.67$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 21c | 724.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 78c | 700$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 17c | 697.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 14c | 599.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…8863backed No | 16c | 525.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 17c | 517.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed Yes | 55c | 513.12$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.39 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +126%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 20c | 491.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…a018backed Yes | 80c | 479$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 17c | 478.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 77c | 463$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 7c | 462$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 16c | 412$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 80c | 376.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked No | 22c | 366.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed No | 11c | 366.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed Yes | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 17c | 347.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 18c | 347.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…2f9dbacked Yes | 79c | 286.6$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 10c | 274.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc8…5bf1backed No | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed No | 21c | 246.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 74c | 219.03$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa978…d8cbbacked No | 6c | 189.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…e491backed Yes | 79c | 175.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 15c | 165.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 79c | 164$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 77c | 150.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 15c | 149.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 79c | 141.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…b2e7backed Yes | 77c | 129.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…68e3backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed Yes | 80c | 125.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…25eebacked Yes | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 18c | 108.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked Yes | 78c | 86.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…5655backed Yes | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 78c | 76.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6c23backed Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 21c | 69.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…f2ffbacked Yes | 79c | 63.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…c633backed No | 34c | 46.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…ab15backed Yes | 79c | 42.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…4591backed Yes | 78c | 37.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791a…25d2backed Yes | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 76c | 27.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…8c7abacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…605abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…4967backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…618bbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7d…b153backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…a833backed Yes | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…5b34backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.