Music · resolved market
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8be62561265275646bb39b71f088b24d94613ddb455f5473a1abe382fb698e02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbec…8178backed No | 32c | 61,388$19,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,743.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…be4cbacked Yes | 68c | 61,388$41,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,743.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…3830backed Yes | 54c | 32,645$17,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,628.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…7388backed No | 46c | 32,645$15,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,628.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…974cbacked No | 49c | 32,218$15,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,431.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…57d4backed Yes | 51c | 32,218$16,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,431.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…c7cfbacked No | 56c | 29,011$16,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,764.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7910…0224backed Yes | 44c | 29,011$12,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,764.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 46c | 7,962$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.4 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…8ceabacked Yes | 54c | 5,887$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 38c | 5,834$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.85 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 38c | 4,973$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.54 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 49c | 3,080$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.19 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 52c | 2,999$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.01 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 46c | 1,652$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.93 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 49c | 1,591$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.17 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 42c | 1,331$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.23 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 52c | 1,243$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 44c | 1,239$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.01 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 41c | 1,212$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.17 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 54c | 1,200$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.49 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 47c | 1,095$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.84 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…b2b3backed No | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 62c | 771.43$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.67 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 61c | 746.21$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 39c | 550$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 67c | 539.84$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.5 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 39c | 518.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 61c | 486.44$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 36c | 480$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 51c | 472.04$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.04 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…baa5backed No | 40c | 470$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 56c | 456.84$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.77 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 53c | 419.02$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.76 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…be4abacked No | 40c | 415$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 56c | 399.96$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 47c | 363$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 40c | 350.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.58 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 54c | 350$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 38c | 347$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 31c | 334.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.42 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…94f5backed Yes | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5856…d0abbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed No | 48c | 322.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed No | 52c | 304.34$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…efe1backed No | 51c | 300$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 65c | 283.82$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…96a6backed Yes | 39c | 257.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…2405backed Yes | 60c | 245$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…69eabacked Yes | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 39c | 220$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 45c | 219.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6c23backed Yes | 55c | 212.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 209.64$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…4e02backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 46c | 196.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a913backed Yes | 60c | 195$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 33c | 180$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…2f9dbacked No | 53c | 172.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 34c | 147.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 68c | 143$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…a104backed Yes | 60c | 135$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 53c | 132.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 52c | 115.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…139cbacked Yes | 41c | 112.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 55c | 107.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 58c | 104.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…6c81backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…8b4dbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 64c | 88.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 51c | 87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…af32backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 48c | 79.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 65c | 78.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 34c | 75.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…b2e7backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…b99bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 57c | 72.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…f92ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 45c | 70.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 56c | 70.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed No | 33c | 59.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…4e45backed Yes | 56c | 59.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 49c | 56.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…4a25backed Yes | 49c | 51.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.