TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,133 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd535…fa67backed Yes12c5,621$683 inLost-$682.883839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes13c4,000$520 inLost-$5205145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes7c715.82$50 inLost-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes8c419$32 inLost-$31.757027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes10c416.73$40 inLost-$39.743420.6%7 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes10c397.67$41 inLost-$40.551910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-70.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ece…b2e7backed Yes10c202.92$20 inLost-$202729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…a440backed Yes10c196.52$19 inLost-$19.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes15c100$15 inLost-$152733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d31…9862backed Yes13c100$13 inLost-$13850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+80.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed Yes15c82$12 inLost-$12.34447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes21c58.5$12 inLost-$12.44714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-74.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No75c40$30 inWon+$102951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd740…54f6backed Yes25c40$10 inLost-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.