Music · resolved market
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4991de8ecc581e41513d0d761f39d44e2edea2cdc8338cfe0de285f014345156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 74c | 74,469$54,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,996.12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…842cbacked Yes | 28c | 53,803$15,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,738.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a56…3b4ebacked No | 72c | 53,803$38,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,738.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 26c | 42,645$11,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,589.58 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 46c | 36,846$16,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,961.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 65c | 31,422$20,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,972.01 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 35c | 14,000$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,103.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…7ce4backed No | 17c | 9,363$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 24c | 8,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,080 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…6d49backed Yes | 27c | 7,000$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked No | 70c | 6,987$4,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.18 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 29c | 6,900$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.32 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 64c | 5,303$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.4 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…36f0backed Yes | 28c | 4,727$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 23c | 2,605$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.35 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 27c | 2,318$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.83 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 63c | 2,248$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.69 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 80c | 2,034$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.1 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 60c | 1,738$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.59 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Yes | 35c | 1,725$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 66c | 1,721$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.18 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Yes | 42c | 1,455$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.77 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 65c | 1,423$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8f…d72ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,379$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x246a…19b8backed No | 68c | 1,379$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.62 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…d2a9backed Yes | 29c | 1,276$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed No | 65c | 1,246$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed No | 62c | 1,229$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 64c | 1,150$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 1,083$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.4 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 37c | 1,082$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.99 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 60c | 832.49$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed No | 65c | 815$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 64c | 777$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.42 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…b090backed No | 61c | 720$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…7cc4backed No | 65c | 684.75$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…629fbacked Yes | 37c | 661.04$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440b…d50cbacked No | 19c | 653.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 59c | 563.82$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 37c | 545.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.48 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…9c05backed Yes | 37c | 540.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…28eebacked Yes | 38c | 533.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 64c | 528.02$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.59 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 64c | 507.08$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 74c | 500.67$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 72c | 500.39$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.88 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked No | 75c | 481.63$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 36c | 430.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 36c | 420.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 30c | 420$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.04 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…af26backed Yes | 39c | 420$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Yes | 26c | 391.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 27c | 373.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…446dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cc…0187backed Yes | 24c | 366.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +111%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 350$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 63c | 323.9$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…d34bbacked Yes | 31c | 323.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…01eabacked Yes | 39c | 311.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…fae7backed Yes | 37c | 307.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +85%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 76c | 300.1$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.58 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…637ebacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ba…408fbacked Yes | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 66c | 299.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 78c | 299.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060b…78f1backed Yes | 25c | 296$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 25c | 295.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.62 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…088dbacked No | 69c | 290.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…f720backed Yes | 36c | 287.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…d31ebacked No | 61c | 280$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…77f1backed Yes | 33c | 280$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +198.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…bc60backed Yes | 41c | 278.17$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5607…1d7abacked Yes | 36c | 275.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…13e4backed No | 51c | 273.37$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d39fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…959abacked Yes | 41c | 263.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90c…82e8backed Yes | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…c1debacked Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…536dbacked Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 77c | 250$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…e491backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6c23backed Yes | 31c | 239.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 63c | 227.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…bdf7backed Yes | 35c | 225.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 218.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.16 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7e0abacked Yes | 39c | 207.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…24d9backed No | 66c | 203.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…f4d7backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 74c | 178.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 32c | 174.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 66c | 167.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.