Music · resolved market
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1211eda2ffc7a82c4626ccce8a538694d689d66f7e3bc787c670b9b481bda56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e2…ea00backed No | 39c | 28,411$11,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,080.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…b5fabacked Yes | 61c | 28,411$17,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,080.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 36c | 17,918$6,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,554.04 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 63c | 12,456$7,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,904.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 61c | 5,933$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 39c | 5,277$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 61c | 4,078$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.15 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 41c | 3,717$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.59 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,920$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,707$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 62c | 1,570$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked No | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.93 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…92e2backed Yes | 37c | 1,135$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 59c | 1,100$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…458dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,064$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 37c | 1,056$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 62c | 1,026$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.36 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 62c | 1,023$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.04 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 29cpaid | +265%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…dc7fbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 66c | 965.56$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.04 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1c30backed Yes | 37c | 880$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…15c4backed Yes | 38c | 880$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 41c | 817.9$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.13 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…3a3fbacked Yes | 39c | 777.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 37c | 732.03$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a92…65ecbacked No | 4c | 670.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 40c | 612$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…7939backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…1dbabacked No | 63c | 570$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 59c | 550$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 41c | 542.42$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…09f2backed No | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…b2b3backed No | 38c | 519.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked No | 4c | 508.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 52c | 502.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…013fbacked Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…d4f3backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 49c | 460.03$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.23 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 37c | 399.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…37d6backed Yes | 38c | 395.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 37c | 354.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 77c | 338.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 62c | 330$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…5c4dbacked Yes | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 42c | 297.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 57c | 282.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…531cbacked Yes | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 59c | 259.67$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…d982backed No | 63c | 255$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed No | 40c | 251.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 36c | 245$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…69eabacked Yes | 63c | 242.53$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…9941backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 37c | 220.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 27c | 203.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…2916backed Yes | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 61c | 196.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 62c | 186.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 49c | 178.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 38c | 173.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 39c | 172.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 39c | 170.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…6041backed No | 63c | 170$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 25c | 169.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 25c | 167.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…f587backed Yes | 36c | 161.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 161$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 38c | 144.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…234dbacked No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…b409backed Yes | 39c | 134.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…429ebacked Yes | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…96a6backed Yes | 37c | 133.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked Yes | 39c | 129.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…c633backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…76ddbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 65c | 121$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…b2e7backed Yes | 52c | 119.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 37c | 117$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c8…79ecbacked Yes | 61c | 114$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e200backed Yes | 39c | 109.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 39c | 108$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked No | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed No | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…4eb4backed No | 49c | 101.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.