TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb747…b050backed Yes28c7,452$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.965145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27c8…79ecbacked No73c4,550$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.88540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No69c2,943$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.294643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d4…9c57backed Yes16c2,023$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.442835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c8e…8a65backed Yes42c1,464$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-69.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No73c1,133$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.684748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No76c1,058$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.677345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes15c1,013$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.422927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes24c947.42$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.974440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No75c732.6$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.047027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes24c621.85$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.713420.6%7 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No71c583.23$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.167343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ce…0e03backed Yes23c571.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed No79c507.08$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.081435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d89…637ebacked No70c499.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes31c430$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes15c414.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0914938.9%58 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No78c364$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.086642.4%28 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c9…52dabacked Yes19c352.16$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46b…f862backed Yes33c325.87$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc752…1f6cbacked No79c310.33$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.53023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-63.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No76c295.98$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.12755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed Yes22c285.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.654447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No72c276.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.61650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes30c265.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+85.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes16c265.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0219939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050b…cf01backed Yes24c264.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No75c254.4$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5812835.9%46 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0d5…950dbacked Yes24c251.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6359…9c9cbacked Yes30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-56.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No72c215$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.23438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff1…98d7backed No73c206.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.161050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes49c204.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd535…fa67backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Yes24c199.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.951910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd0…38ddbacked Yes31c194.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes32c165.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.32832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412d…c0b0backed Yes19c157.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…1a0abacked Yes30c147.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No70c137.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes19c119.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4922640.3%91 W · 135 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed No76c109$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.163348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2915119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x730c…f684backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d9…9695backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac8e…4c48backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240c…5b34backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked No77c98.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.262450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe472…f199backed Yes21c93.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe966…c1c2backed No76c90.79$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.791030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb765…f696backed Yes27c87.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2331…5085backed Yes21c85.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b9…66acbacked No72c76.48$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.481643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204c…df35backed Yes26c72.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8628…f894backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc90…a076backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes24c66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.824629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0209…441fbacked Yes23c65.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cc…935cbacked Yes31c64.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe82…5c81backed Yes20c63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69333.3%31 W · 62 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+76%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes20c61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.191478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No63c56.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes29c55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.953935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc2…cd93backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa834…6ee3backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+53.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c37…9621backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed No63c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35c…f6c1backed Yes31c48.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…5655backed No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.81163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No76c39.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.543450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0197…70dcbacked No70c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+48.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No75c30.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.475738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d1…3377backed No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf065…c418backed No70c25.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No76c22.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.343953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68d6…8b0ebacked No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+62.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.