Music · resolved market
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87667f18751c6fe4240b88e9f7d3c73576d5b830aa067ead4d88c815a48b6e34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 14c | 3,374$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.43 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x242b…de00backed Yes | 21c | 2,462$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 10c | 2,429$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.94 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 16c | 1,981$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.09 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Yes | 20c | 1,360$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…458dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…2de6backed Yes | 22c | 940$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 13c | 899.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.91 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 35c | 606.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 78c | 602.11$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 11c | 600$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 18c | 469.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 10c | 460$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 16c | 445.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed76…4bdfbacked Yes | 20c | 430$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…c5c8backed Yes | 24c | 420.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 23c | 365.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 19c | 351.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad5…2161backed No | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 18c | 295.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…2ff5backed No | 78c | 280$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…bfefbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…ec62backed No | 78c | 230$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 36c | 212$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…d34bbacked Yes | 48c | 207.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed No | 79c | 193$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 35c | 169.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 18c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…5ebdbacked Yes | 70c | 143.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…e35fbacked No | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…d6cebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…63e0backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 76c | 91.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…4b66backed Yes | 44c | 87.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…5f8cbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…4a25backed Yes | 29c | 78.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…23ddbacked Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…1fbebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 79c | 60.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…c85abacked Yes | 67c | 59.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5f…6cadbacked Yes | 24c | 59.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 23c | 53.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786e…ac2bbacked Yes | 62c | 53.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…5721backed Yes | 56c | 41.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…e7dabacked Yes | 34c | 34.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…af51backed Yes | 40c | 31.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…f894backed No | 67c | 29.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…2e0cbacked Yes | 46c | 29.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 20.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 74c | 17.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.