TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a08…2e25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
357
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 64 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT7626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.23
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.85
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.68
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.62
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,574.16
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.41
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.47
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.22
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.22
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.74
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+103%+$113.91
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.05
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.32
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.6
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$156.54
Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4650%23 W · 23 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+61.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Movies — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Will "Middle East" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+139%+$85.23
Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$17.76
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$164.35
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+251.3%+$131.76
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$52.08
Will "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$34.43
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,168.8%+$1,897.95
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$23.75
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$22.82
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.28
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.37
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,094Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+114%+$1,246.95
Will "President" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+351.6%+$300
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.57
Will Owen Cooper win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$252.04
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$450
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$230.49
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+252.2%+$371.7
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.76
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.95
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$130.5
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.68
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$136.99
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.96
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$39.92
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$91.35
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$102.63
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.09
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+98%+$99
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$133.2
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+144.5%+$239.32
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.18
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36.88
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$286.92
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.81
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$155.11
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+84.5%+$61.55
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$171.48
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$79.75
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$103.32
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$61.47
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Bus" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.67
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Immigrant" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$65.8
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$103.44
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+214.1%+$361.24
Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.21
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+166.1%+$176.95
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Trump say "Hottest" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+203%+$234.5
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+6.9wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+116%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$840
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$1,710
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.4
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.63
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+952.6%+$1,086
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$122.41
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$36.63
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+99%+$175.3
Will Trump say "Insane Asylum" this week? (January 25)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+91%+$75.09
Will Donald Trump say "pardon" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Trump say "Peace" or "Deal" 7+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Trump say "Communist" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Trump say "F-35" or "B-2" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$71.08
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+207.9%+$256.15
Will Trump say "Skedaddle" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.92
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Autopen" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+55.5%+$137.63
Will Trump say "Hottest" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$177
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+54.9%+$124
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-69.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.7
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.76
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$445
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.75
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$68.25
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.05
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.42
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.63
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.36
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.08
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.56
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.31
Will Leléka win Vidbir 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+271.5%+$87.7
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.62
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$282.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$320.6
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.7%+$135.2
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$118.57
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$30.47
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+96.4%+$134.72
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.74
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+157.4%+$214
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.57
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+169.3%+$433.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.26
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$105.39
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Piastri?backed Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.79
Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$180.15
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.49
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+121.8%+$490.93
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$119.88
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$43.82
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.1
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+211.4%+$229.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.48
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.46
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$101.51
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+89.8%+$53
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.49
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$37.85
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$88.7
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.2
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
World Championships: Latvia vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.49
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.8
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.4
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.7
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.16
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+85.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+136.5%+$200.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melania say "Husband" or "Trump" during statement on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.