Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2fc13c426b34a2da601d2c3363ea0282154fe72a73c5ee646e41a4f53f513e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 68c | 16,551$11,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 15c | 8,429$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.15 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 29c | 7,608$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.62 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 33c | 5,917$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.03 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 23c | 5,798$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.49 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 34c | 4,181$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 25c | 3,925$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 31c | 3,210$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.53 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 3,064$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.48 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,929$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.92 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…17dabacked No | 71c | 2,842$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…f00fbacked No | 76c | 2,735$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 71c | 2,416$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 30c | 2,277$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.98 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 13c | 1,998$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.13 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…6ce6backed Yes | 37c | 1,665$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 73c | 1,534$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 30c | 1,501$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…ec98backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 11c | 1,261$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…0479backed Yes | 31c | 1,236$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Yes | 11c | 1,220$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…510ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,025$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed No | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 30c | 956.19$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.98 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 30c | 865.16$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed No | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 3c | 718.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked No | 68c | 700.6$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 34c | 700$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes | 23c | 698.82$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed No | 72c | 694.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 26c | 664.97$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 71c | 642$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.18 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 21c | 615.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 33c | 614.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.13 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 70c | 613.06$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 27c | 608.82$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.81 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed No | 71c | 600$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 523.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 66c | 505$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 61c | 500$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 27c | 496.42$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 69c | 495.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…5903backed No | 72c | 480.89$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Yes | 31c | 450$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 22c | 423.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 22c | 422.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 52c | 418.35$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 63c | 402.73$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…3a3ebacked Yes | 28c | 400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…9b16backed Yes | 26c | 373.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked Yes | 24c | 367.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed Yes | 39c | 365.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 31c | 365.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed No | 65c | 350$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 34c | 349.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yes | 29c | 344$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 69c | 315.36$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…a8f9backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked No | 66c | 303.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 68c | 300$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed No | 69c | 295.3$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked No | 65c | 280$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 41c | 278.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…209abacked Yes | 23c | 263.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae0…d8d0backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 74c | 242.84$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 29c | 238.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…828abacked No | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 69c | 222$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed No | 71c | 216.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 38c | 202$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 68c | 200.39$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…6d63backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…f23cbacked No | 70c | 197.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 73c | 196$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 32c | 191.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…f3c1backed No | 74c | 188.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 70c | 188.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35a8…a418backed Yes | 34c | 182.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 175.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked Yes | 52c | 167.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 69c | 163.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…abafbacked Yes | 31c | 162.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…225dbacked Yes | 74c | 162.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 15c | 158.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 66c | 158.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?this page
- Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.