Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283027a8d2448fe2c66c27103246441129c3c05c0eeb20f29b367d2dc8947900

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 18, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,492 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	46c	4,436$2,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,018.43	141	21.3%30 W · 111 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked No	56c	1,717$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.32	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	12c	1,684$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.8	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes	47c	1,500$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	55c	1,127$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.08	255	28.2%72 W · 183 L	-17.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-32%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce69…3e08backed Yes	42c	846.48$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.52	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed No	53c	708.71$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.82	91	15.4%14 W · 77 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5d9…72eebacked No	57c	696.52$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.52	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0523…e38bbacked No	56c	679.95$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.26	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-6.1wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f33…0479backed Yes	44c	610.18$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.48	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf6…cf40backed No	56c	553$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.43	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+30%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	34c	510$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.93	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed No	56c	478$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.31	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No	56c	455$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.2	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+5.5wins	+0.18per pick	37cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c67…8b76backed Yes	46c	405.12$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.36	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed No	56c	356.49$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.49	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked No	18c	333$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.06	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+6.8wins	+0.28per pick	14cpaid	+203.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes	30c	331.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	326.95$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.21	394	29.4%116 W · 278 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc202…2afdbacked No	58c	300$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+105.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e4…eff6backed No	61c	300$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b92…42e6backed Yes	43c	299.98$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.99	45	11.1%5 W · 40 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-75%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	42c	282.29$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	417	36.2%151 W · 266 L	-25.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c97…1b68backed Yes	46c	281$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.26	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes	44c	271.62$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.4	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Yes	42c	238$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-4.1wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes	42c	237.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.20per pick	38cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2853…3482backed Yes	44c	220$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.8	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.15per pick	37cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes	26c	214.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.95	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc406…07d9backed Yes	47c	211.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90be…c800backed Yes	43c	204$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.72	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes	13c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c14…0869backed Yes	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7214…433bbacked No	57c	174.63$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.63	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb26c…0eb0backed No	57c	163.67$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.38	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed No	54c	160$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.8	77	61%47 W · 30 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	44c	150$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x08c8…1da2backed No	56c	150$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	42c	148.06$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.18	268	35.1%94 W · 174 L	-38.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes	47c	138.3$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No	56c	130$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.6	214	26.2%56 W · 158 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x879b…2f18backed Yes	46c	121.57$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.86	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed No	54c	110.87$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac45…20c5backed Yes	44c	105.44$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.94	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-6.8wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	14c	103.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.9	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb9…403abacked Yes	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe991…9969backed Yes	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…166bbacked Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No	58c	84.97$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.96	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d07…293fbacked Yes	42c	84.77$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2348…9ee0backed No	61c	82.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.46	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes	45c	74.7$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.79	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	55c	64.81$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.98	115	42.6%49 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x207b…a7a1backed Yes	41c	60.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed No	56c	60$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	262	38.5%101 W · 161 L	+18.2wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ce2…5f90backed Yes	37c	54.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes	40c	53.81$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8134…8eaabacked No	56c	53.42$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.42	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	36c	51.84$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe9e3…cad2backed Yes	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1cd…5df2backed Yes	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…c2b2backed No	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.24per pick	49cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc324…4cd6backed Yes	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e6…2b17backed Yes	43c	49.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e1…b3c6backed No	63c	47.62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.62	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…f872backed Yes	45c	46.67$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	33cpaid	-85%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d33…209abacked Yes	46c	45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…2423backed No	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	53cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed7e…2fe2backed Yes	45c	44.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6f…7495backed Yes	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes	43c	43.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.51	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e7…0ffabacked Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3688…a354backed No	58c	41.63$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.48	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked No	68c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e6…63d8backed Yes	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.21per pick	58cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…b172backed No	56c	39.46$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.36	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebdd…b527backed Yes	46c	36.96$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6752…fafbbacked Yes	35c	35.95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0b6…f594backed No	55c	35.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.19	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e1c…cc2abacked Yes	43c	35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a79…8e05backed No	58c	35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Yes	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	353	41.9%148 W · 205 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a74…b263backed No	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3556…4da1backed No	55c	28.53$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.84	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dc…35f9backed No	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5517…ab11backed No	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0820…e29dbacked No	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?this page
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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