TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0b6…f594

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+106.9%+$21.79
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+448.1%+$104.93
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$5.48
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$6.85
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+89.1%+$17.81
Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$5.62
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+82.7%+$16.19
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.66
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-64%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+67.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$12.71
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EWC Cs2: G2 vs. Falconsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.84
EWC Cs2: TYLOO vs. Astralisbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
BLAST Bounty: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked ThunderTalk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.