UFC · resolved market
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc173c06370dce85c36496b55bc3aa204b4fb70176519f6afc7a0fc1b0cb041a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chimaevof Du Plessis, Chimaev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,512,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,898,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,512,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked Chimaev | 70c | 1,472,204$1,030,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441,384.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Du Plessis | 31c | 740,035$226,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226,205.16 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Du Plessis | 32c | 623,769$200,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,129.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Chimaev | 67c | 403,432$271,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,866.52 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Du Plessis | 29c | 345,447$101,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,280.1 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Chimaev | 70c | 150,000$104,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,499.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Du Plessis | 32c | 130,674$42,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,115.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Du Plessis | 31c | 107,422$33,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,747.8 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…a715backed Du Plessis | 30c | 100,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc90e…48c5backed Chimaev | 68c | 73,152$50,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,143.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Chimaev | 71c | 64,307$45,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,504.68 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked Chimaev | 69c | 59,239$41,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,099.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Chimaev | 69c | 58,079$39,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,121.17 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…eccbbacked Chimaev | 69c | 52,163$36,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,921.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Du Plessis | 31c | 51,867$16,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,035.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Du Plessis | 30c | 49,455$14,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,836.61 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…a70dbacked Du Plessis | 31c | 48,371$14,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,995 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked Chimaev | 69c | 47,959$33,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,932.7 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Chimaev | 70c | 45,728$32,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,718.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Chimaev | 69c | 41,253$28,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,850.16 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Chimaev | 70c | 39,205$27,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,893.66 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Du Plessis | 32c | 37,660$12,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,228.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Chimaev | 70c | 37,145$26,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,143.51 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Chimaev | 70c | 33,085$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,084.89 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Chimaev | 69c | 32,515$22,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150.23 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Du Plessis | 31c | 32,258$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Chimaev | 70c | 31,477$22,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,443.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…a12ebacked Chimaev | 68c | 30,897$21,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,759.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…d1debacked Chimaev | 68c | 30,289$20,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,622.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…0aaabacked Chimaev | 68c | 29,245$19,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,356.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…bbefbacked Chimaev | 70c | 28,514$19,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,554.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Chimaev | 70c | 24,709$17,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,379.34 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Chimaev | 68c | 24,631$16,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,929.35 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff4…29bebacked Chimaev | 71c | 23,944$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,943.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked Chimaev | 69c | 23,719$16,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,253.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Du Plessis | 30c | 23,355$7,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,006.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Chimaev | 69c | 23,000$15,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,130.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Du Plessis | 30c | 22,895$6,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,826.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Chimaev | 70c | 22,280$15,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,596.23 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Chimaev | 67c | 22,211$14,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,329.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Chimaev | 68c | 22,061$15,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,059.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dc…3f06backed Du Plessis | 31c | 20,458$6,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,429.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Du Plessis | 31c | 20,085$6,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,226.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…98fbbacked Du Plessis | 33c | 20,033$6,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Du Plessis | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Chimaev | 70c | 19,897$13,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,972.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Chimaev | 69c | 18,090$12,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,532.02 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77dc…7897backed Du Plessis | 30c | 17,480$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,244.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Chimaev | 67c | 17,358$11,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,728.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Du Plessis | 34c | 17,000$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,780 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…ab9dbacked Chimaev | 68c | 16,889$11,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Du Plessis | 29c | 16,678$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.51 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…4ed2backed Du Plessis | 30c | 16,665$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Chimaev | 66c | 16,392$10,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.06 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…f574backed Chimaev | 67c | 16,066$10,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,301.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Du Plessis | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7727…ba4bbacked Chimaev | 69c | 14,943$10,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Du Plessis | 31c | 14,420$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked Chimaev | 69c | 14,328$9,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Chimaev | 70c | 14,200$9,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Du Plessis | 34c | 13,999$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.9 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…4a50backed Du Plessis | 33c | 13,293$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a2…7c48backed Du Plessis | 30c | 13,074$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chimaev | 69c | 11,500$7,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…2511backed Du Plessis | 29c | 11,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Chimaev | 68c | 10,847$7,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.74 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Du Plessis | 2c | 10,841$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…016cbacked Du Plessis | 31c | 10,752$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Du Plessis | 33c | 10,377$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.85 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…252abacked Du Plessis | 30c | 10,157$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Chimaev | 69c | 10,145$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…17f4backed Du Plessis | 34c | 10,125$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Chimaev | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Chimaev | 75c | 9,874$7,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Chimaev | 71c | 9,772$6,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Du Plessis | 2c | 9,498$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Du Plessis | 7c | 9,497$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.47 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…4772backed Du Plessis | 32c | 9,351$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chimaev | 70c | 9,016$6,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.77 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Du Plessis | 15c | 8,439$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Chimaev | 66c | 8,291$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.01 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Chimaev | 67c | 7,992$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Du Plessis | 31c | 7,591$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.27 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Chimaev | 71c | 7,506$5,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…f68ebacked Chimaev | 69c | 7,503$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Chimaev | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Du Plessis | 18c | 7,344$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.97 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…21e7backed Chimaev | 70c | 7,328$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…3dc7backed Chimaev | 66c | 7,150$4,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Chimaev | 69c | 6,938$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.82 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Chimaev | 68c | 6,866$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.43 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…f844backed Du Plessis | 30c | 6,748$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Du Plessis | 29c | 6,700$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…4e75backed Chimaev | 70c | 6,677$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…51babacked Du Plessis | 30c | 6,660$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked Du Plessis | 30c | 6,616$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.23 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…daa1backed Du Plessis | 31c | 6,451$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Du Plessis | 32c | 6,191$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Du Plessis | 32c | 5,959$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.07 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…79e1backed Chimaev | 68c | 5,845$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevthis page
- UFC 319: Andrade vs. GodinezGodinez won
- UFC 319: Barboza vs. KloseKlose won
- UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page Page won
- UFC 319: Elliott vs. AsakuraElliott won
- UFC 319: Hooper vs. HernandezHernandez won
- UFC 319: Idiris vs. MoralesMorales won
- UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico Murphy won
- UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates Prates won
- UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa Silva won
- UFC 319: Susurkaev vs. NolanSusurkaev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.