TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Page of Cannonier, Page
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$956,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,087,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…b3dfbacked Cannonier36c517,147$185,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185,875.092250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Page 65c120,322$77,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,457.213039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Page 64c115,951$74,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,743.0919544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Cannonier35c90,488$31,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,752.3635253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Cannonier34c78,311$26,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,625.919154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Page 64c54,465$34,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,611.751662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Page 65c44,428$28,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,562.9116951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Page 64c36,013$23,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,829.547841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Page 64c34,066$21,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,263.8114857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bae…3a9bbacked Page 66c30,303$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,303.035100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+120.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Page 65c29,370$19,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,304.241936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Page 64c26,000$16,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,360742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Page 65c24,000$15,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5103740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Page 64c17,000$10,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,12016049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Page 64c15,080$9,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,444.981090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Page 64c15,003$9,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,471.1913453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Page 64c13,300$8,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,823.963250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Page 64c13,290$8,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,784.433253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Page 64c11,623$7,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,184.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7160…f574backed Page 65c9,846$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.09580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8c…a715backed Page 64c9,765$6,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.32714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick53cpaid-77.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cannonier35c9,104$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.410447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Page 64c8,500$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06037152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Page 64c8,019$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.576142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Page 64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8806841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Cannonier7c7,623$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.893737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Page 66c7,588$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.513748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ac…79ecbacked Cannonier36c6,958$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.881145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Cannonier35c5,886$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.973066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Page 65c5,491$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.7318145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Page 64c5,112$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.313452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Cannonier9c5,085$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.6910522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Page 64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8006451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Page 67c4,399$2,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.127233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47eb…4e75backed Page 66c4,012$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Cannonier37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4801637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Page 64c3,401$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.7118453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Page 69c3,393$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.6953956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea0…9928backed Page 65c3,100$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Page 64c3,062$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.829336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Page 64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Page 64c2,825$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01716745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Cannonier36c2,752$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Cannonier37c2,716$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Page 64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Page 64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9008256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49e…cf2bbacked Page 65c2,247$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0d…0fa0backed Cannonier37c2,217$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Page 64c2,200$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79011844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Cannonier36c2,100$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74635826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058b…1cd1backed Page 64c2,023$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Cannonier35c2,020$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70712541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6227…18dabacked Page 65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Page 64c1,800$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6482445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Page 65c1,780$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.196462.5%40 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Page 65c1,601$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.176349.2%31 W · 32 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Page 64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54042042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Page 64c1,500$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5453545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Page 65c1,498$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.462236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Page 64c1,490$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.439959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x353c…1dc1backed Cannonier35c1,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Page 64c1,388$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.8117752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Page 64c1,364$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.135950.8%30 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2876…c4b2backed Page 65c1,319$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.861838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Cannonier5c1,300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691012%2 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Page 64c1,297$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.778220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Cannonier37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40710041%41 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Cannonier37c1,000$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36916955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Page 64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3606248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Cannonier37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3707745.5%35 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Cannonier36c954.1$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.486746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Page 65c940$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33213160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd780…b355backed Page 65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cannonier9c874$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.614929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Page 64c858.72$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.142564%16 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Page 64c819.02$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.853441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Page 64c818$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.918560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Cannonier11c815.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.628043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Cannonier37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Page 64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28817850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…f215backed Cannonier36c797$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.924156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff3…d376backed Page 64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.256448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Page 69c777.36$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.581838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Page 65c771.78$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7815552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Page 65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2329848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Page 66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.587653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Page 64c731.59$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.376533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Page 64c721.88$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8821044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Cannonier13c713.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.286035%21 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc202…2afdbacked Page 65c650$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Page 65c626.78$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.262755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Page 65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13f5…7049backed Page 64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Page 64c570$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.236745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Cannonier36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Page 64c550$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1983342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83f3…b564backed Page 65c549.83$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe896…21d2backed Cannonier26c545.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Cannonier19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…9481backed Page 64c513$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.681353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.