UFC · resolved market
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db0896e08b84f0cd0036dae54d81501f0b135b24a3601b525fa88b384cb3054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Page of Cannonier, Page
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $956,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,087,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked Cannonier | 36c | 517,147$185,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,875.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Page | 65c | 120,322$77,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,457.2 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Page | 64c | 115,951$74,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,743.09 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cannonier | 35c | 90,488$31,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,752.36 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Cannonier | 34c | 78,311$26,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,625.9 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Page | 64c | 54,465$34,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,611.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Page | 65c | 44,428$28,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,562.91 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Page | 64c | 36,013$23,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,829.54 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Page | 64c | 34,066$21,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,263.81 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked Page | 66c | 30,303$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,303.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Page | 65c | 29,370$19,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,304.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Page | 64c | 26,000$16,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,360 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Page | 65c | 24,000$15,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,510 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Page | 64c | 17,000$10,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Page | 64c | 15,080$9,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Page | 64c | 15,003$9,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.19 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Page | 64c | 13,300$8,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,823.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Page | 64c | 13,290$8,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.4 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Page | 64c | 11,623$7,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…f574backed Page | 65c | 9,846$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,446.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…a715backed Page | 64c | 9,765$6,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cannonier | 35c | 9,104$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.4 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Page | 64c | 8,500$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Page | 64c | 8,019$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.57 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Page | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Cannonier | 7c | 7,623$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.89 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Page | 66c | 7,588$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.51 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Cannonier | 36c | 6,958$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cannonier | 35c | 5,886$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.97 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Page | 65c | 5,491$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.73 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Page | 64c | 5,112$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.31 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Cannonier | 9c | 5,085$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.69 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Page | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Page | 67c | 4,399$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.12 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…4e75backed Page | 66c | 4,012$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Cannonier | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Page | 64c | 3,401$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.71 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Page | 69c | 3,393$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.69 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Page | 65c | 3,100$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Page | 64c | 3,062$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.82 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Page | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Page | 64c | 2,825$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Cannonier | 36c | 2,752$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Cannonier | 37c | 2,716$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Page | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Page | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…cf2bbacked Page | 65c | 2,247$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…0fa0backed Cannonier | 37c | 2,217$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Page | 64c | 2,200$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cannonier | 36c | 2,100$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Page | 64c | 2,023$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cannonier | 35c | 2,020$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…18dabacked Page | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Page | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Page | 65c | 1,780$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.19 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Page | 65c | 1,601$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.17 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Page | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Page | 64c | 1,500$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Page | 65c | 1,498$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.46 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Page | 64c | 1,490$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.4 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…1dc1backed Cannonier | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Page | 64c | 1,388$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.81 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Page | 64c | 1,364$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.13 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Page | 65c | 1,319$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Cannonier | 5c | 1,300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Page | 64c | 1,297$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.77 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Cannonier | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Cannonier | 37c | 1,000$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Page | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Cannonier | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cannonier | 36c | 954.1$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.48 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Page | 65c | 940$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd780…b355backed Page | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cannonier | 9c | 874$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Page | 64c | 858.72$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.14 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Page | 64c | 819.02$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Page | 64c | 818$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.9 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Cannonier | 11c | 815.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Cannonier | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Page | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Cannonier | 36c | 797$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.92 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Page | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Page | 69c | 777.36$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Page | 65c | 771.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.78 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Page | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Page | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Page | 64c | 731.59$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.37 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Page | 64c | 721.88$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.88 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cannonier | 13c | 713.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Page | 65c | 650$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Page | 65c | 626.78$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Page | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Page | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Page | 64c | 570$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Cannonier | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Page | 64c | 550$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…b564backed Page | 65c | 549.83$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…21d2backed Cannonier | 26c | 545.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Cannonier | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…9481backed Page | 64c | 513$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page this page
- UFC 319: Andrade vs. GodinezGodinez won
- UFC 319: Barboza vs. KloseKlose won
- UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevChimaev won
- UFC 319: Elliott vs. AsakuraElliott won
- UFC 319: Hooper vs. HernandezHernandez won
- UFC 319: Idiris vs. MoralesMorales won
- UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico Murphy won
- UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates Prates won
- UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa Silva won
- UFC 319: Susurkaev vs. NolanSusurkaev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.