TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 319: Andrade vs. Godinez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Godinezof Andrade, Godinez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$292,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,413 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…b3dfbacked Godinez60c182,544$109,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,484.792250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Andrade40c81,622$32,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,543.6819544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Andrade38c33,622$12,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,884.656841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Andrade41c25,549$10,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,386.216049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Godinez78c25,319$19,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,630.2129151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Andrade40c19,500$7,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,83037152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Andrade17c18,951$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,243.6610522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Andrade18c10,675$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.3127743%119 W · 158 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Andrade41c6,720$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.8533253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Andrade40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Godinez58c5,151$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.4210447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Andrade22c4,546$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01818145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Andrade41c4,164$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.2517752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Andrade41c3,416$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.116745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Andrade46c3,254$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4993342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Andrade42c2,840$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.841827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Godinez59c2,551$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.7253956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Godinez59c2,550$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.4914857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Andrade45c2,535$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.8635826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Andrade36c2,374$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.518544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Andrade42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Godinez54c1,829$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.1118453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Andrade41c1,654$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.283441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Andrade42c1,238$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.518220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Andrade43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Andrade23c1,080$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.514530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf7…6fa5backed Godinez56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Andrade43c1,049$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4742042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Andrade39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39020249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Andrade42c967.44$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.493545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Andrade21c964.49$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.066035%21 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Andrade24c936.34$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.613652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Godinez59c862.96$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3543066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Andrade41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3288826.1%23 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Andrade41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3281850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Godinez57c779.42$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1513735.8%49 W · 88 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Andrade22c745$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.029336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Andrade7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014045.7%64 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Andrade45c690.89$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.994946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Godinez66c633.81$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2156657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Andrade22c573.4$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.614929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Godinez73c550$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.56547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Godinez60c538.4$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3630964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Andrade40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022144.3%98 W · 123 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Godinez61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.829848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed Godinez76c444$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.781060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Godinez55c409.09$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Godinez54c400$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18328743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Godinez57c349.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.513041.5%54 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Andrade41c348.78$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Godinez59c347.56$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.53342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Andrade41c339.14$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Andrade44c320$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.839959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Andrade44c319.21$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4535253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Godinez56c302.21$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13321044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Andrade40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Andrade42c297.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1417850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Godinez56c280$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.27343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Godinez57c280$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.736655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Godinez60c275.52$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2151533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Andrade42c273.51$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.776633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Godinez70c267.28$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6721031.9%67 W · 143 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Andrade44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Andrade41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.53831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Godinez58c240$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.87745.5%35 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Andrade43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.213160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Andrade42c239.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Andrade41c200.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.611650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfca8…4f41backed Godinez57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Godinez73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Andrade25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507830.8%24 W · 54 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Godinez54c191.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3224847.2%117 W · 131 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Godinez57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f3c…6e8fbacked Godinez57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.447100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1511…4ceebacked Godinez57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x328f…e16cbacked Godinez57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Godinez78c175.32$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.831190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+69.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7bfc…edb9backed Andrade43c175$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.252035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5024…fdb2backed Godinez59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491050%5 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Andrade36c160$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.57147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Andrade14c150.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Godinez59c140$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35a…2157backed Andrade41c122.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2388…377ebacked Andrade41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Andrade44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.848749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3930…13b0backed Godinez61c119.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.81776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…3f34backed Andrade43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+99.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Godinez56c116.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.15945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b48…09e4backed Andrade13c114.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152528%7 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Andrade18c110.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb669…e0e2backed Andrade41c108.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb33…aaadbacked Andrade13c106.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.952536%9 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Godinez60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406650%33 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Godinez58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428036.3%29 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Godinez56c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.552052.9%275 W · 245 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Andrade41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Andrade42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.86451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Andrade28c89.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.544151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Andrade29c86.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.016731.3%21 W · 46 L-9.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba86…a66abacked Godinez60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.339167%61 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.