TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e2b…97b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8038.8%31 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.96
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$819.29
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,282.99
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$274.81
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.3
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$292.64
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$258.5
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.8
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$85
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$386.07
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.78
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$178.75
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.31
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7745.5%35 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kennedy Nzechukwu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.88
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Aleksandar Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$110.37
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kyle Prepolec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.99
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mike Davis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Damian Rzepecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$2,969.15
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.48
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$15.61
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$67.2
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mauricio Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$52.67
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$79.2
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.25
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.15
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Randy Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.15
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+216.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,876Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+216.5%+$6,225.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$108
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$258
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.