UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c0cdd9424e411fc26ffc811515f9941630f1e3b48e11c5747f694110137d9de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nurullo Alievof Mike Davis, Nurullo Aliev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $847,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Mike Davis | 33c | 501,682$165,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,192.07 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 147,050$100,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,353.4 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 100,000$67,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 87,631$60,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,405.42 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 80,000$53,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,400 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 44,956$30,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,835.39 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Nurullo Aliev | 66c | 17,742$11,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040.05 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 12,222$8,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.06 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 10,053$6,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…de25backed Mike Davis | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Mike Davis | 32c | 8,293$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.26 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Nurullo Aliev | 70c | 8,110$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.33 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.96 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Mike Davis | 34c | 7,472$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.95 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mike Davis | 32c | 6,084$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.46 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Mike Davis | 16c | 4,118$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.96 | 157 | 36.9%58 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Mike Davis | 31c | 4,047$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.63 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mike Davis | 23c | 3,588$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.86 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Mike Davis | 16c | 3,071$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.17 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 2,647$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.59 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 2,332$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.23 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Mike Davis | 30c | 2,309$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.36 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 2,194$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Mike Davis | 28c | 2,173$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.49 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 2,157$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mike Davis | 21c | 2,132$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.44 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mike Davis | 34c | 2,096$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 2,042$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.98 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…d325backed Mike Davis | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mike Davis | 31c | 1,829$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.65 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 1,727$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 1,726$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.46 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Mike Davis | 34c | 1,722$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mike Davis | 17c | 1,685$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 1,675$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Mike Davis | 33c | 1,652$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.66 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 1,552$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Mike Davis | 32c | 1,547$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 1,531$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.07 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Mike Davis | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Nurullo Aliev | 64c | 1,500$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.78 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Mike Davis | 33c | 1,430$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Mike Davis | 36c | 1,428$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Nurullo Aliev | 77c | 1,365$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.28 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…b4bebacked Nurullo Aliev | 78c | 1,289$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.77 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Mike Davis | 33c | 1,241$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Mike Davis | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…2964backed Mike Davis | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 1,176$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Nurullo Aliev | 73c | 1,162$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Mike Davis | 12c | 1,089$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Nurullo Aliev | 66c | 1,077$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.57 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 1,055$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Mike Davis | 29c | 1,004$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.84 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Mike Davis | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…9df8backed Nurullo Aliev | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Mike Davis | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Mike Davis | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Mike Davis | 32c | 999.8$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.94 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Mike Davis | 30c | 966.48$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.61 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0c26backed Mike Davis | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 882.86$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.34 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 875.87$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.28 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 871.3$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Mike Davis | 24c | 855.88$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed Nurullo Aliev | 75c | 805.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Mike Davis | 36c | 800$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Mike Davis | 32c | 782$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Nurullo Aliev | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Nurullo Aliev | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Mike Davis | 21c | 665.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Nurullo Aliev | 75c | 658.29$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…8008backed Mike Davis | 33c | 654$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Nurullo Aliev | 65c | 649.4$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…61cfbacked Mike Davis | 38c | 641.33$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 637.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.78 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…4e52backed Mike Davis | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Nurullo Aliev | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Nurullo Aliev | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mike Davis | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 567.16$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.61 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Mike Davis | 33c | 551.78$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Nurullo Aliev | 69c | 546.6$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Nurullo Aliev | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Mike Davis | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Mike Davis | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 499.96$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nurullo Aliev | 60c | 493$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Mike Davis | 29c | 492.35$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mike Davis | 31c | 490.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Nurullo Aliev | 67c | 474.8$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…e239backed Nurullo Aliev | 71c | 468.26$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…b18dbacked Nurullo Aliev | 70c | 455.51$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Mike Davis | 33c | 453.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.