TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$499,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$457,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01d1…12a4backed No4c26,351$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked No2c16,594$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6196…6208backed No1c11,329$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.52120%0 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x748a…3c56backed No2c10,730$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.922025%5 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked No3c10,144$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2766930.4%21 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed No6c9,228$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58624539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed No5c8,942$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48524917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed No6c8,917$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.611225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed No3c8,650$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…9ee4backed No4c8,454$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b3…90c7backed No4c7,339$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ae…6cacbacked No3c6,544$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf4…2365backed No4c6,541$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ff…0372backed No2c5,801$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed No5c5,800$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.24042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed No3c5,500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454226.2%11 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked No0c5,185$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked No4c4,996$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.87922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+67.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked No7c4,500$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.67812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…008ebacked No4c4,287$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b9…d2c7backed No0c4,231$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes10c4,131$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.5711730.8%36 W · 81 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed No2c4,100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.83225%8 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No3c4,076$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.265429.6%16 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01e9…03bbbacked No1c4,060$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed No5c4,000$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f2…b80abacked No3c3,827$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.421520%3 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked No3c3,802$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf46a…4238backed No6c3,768$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed No2c3,628$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7115448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8a…3380backed No3c3,617$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+168.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked No1c3,509$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9112417.7%22 W · 102 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…dd8cbacked No6c3,359$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc173…20f5backed No2c3,134$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.975149%25 W · 26 L+13.7wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+416.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes73c2,866$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.7226330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x272c…7f07backed No1c2,800$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…a363backed No4c2,727$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…0724backed No4c2,617$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc39…8ad8backed No6c2,589$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.251030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No6c2,539$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3f…5e72backed No2c2,520$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482010%2 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-75.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1699…39efbacked No2c2,520$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f74…8741backed No4c2,518$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.263218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No25c2,390$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8813552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd5b9…e44ebacked No3c2,360$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.324151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cec…b47dbacked No3c2,326$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a70…98bbbacked No2c2,263$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked No3c2,107$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3623062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed No7c2,087$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.183826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+132.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76bd…333abacked No1c2,039$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid+20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fb…e7f3backed No1c2,038$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8110533.3%35 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79bf…bcdfbacked No6c1,898$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+156.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed No5c1,880$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-59%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bd…6f69backed No3c1,823$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.711338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab1…5b1bbacked No5c1,749$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.22728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+97.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked No4c1,700$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.374372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed No6c1,654$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005215.4%8 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa68d…9b4dbacked No3c1,527$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52fc…f5b9backed No3c1,505$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked No2c1,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3342…3682backed No3c1,409$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed No7c1,393$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.012548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee55…b010backed No3c1,386$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd4…5127backed No7c1,378$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+73.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed No4c1,325$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.45650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a3…c684backed No5c1,309$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No2c1,296$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed No2c1,256$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307815.4%12 W · 66 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94c5…e6eebacked No1c1,207$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed No5c1,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd307…dab5backed No7c1,180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed No3c1,179$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x635f…92f3backed No2c1,144$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe369…0515backed No3c1,141$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355614.3%8 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeacb…1d8fbacked No6c1,122$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98af…3a0dbacked No7c1,122$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80180%0 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382d…1cf5backed No1c1,106$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd5…41b5backed No5c1,098$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbabd…cdcebacked No1c1,063$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.641520%3 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2946…8eb4backed No3c1,041$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843d…c6e3backed No10c1,008$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed No5c1,000$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7522447.3%106 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked No5c997.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.852835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed No6c991.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8733…5460backed No5c981.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52849.5%8 W · 76 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed No3c967.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a47…c288backed No5c965.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b1…cc81backed No3c934.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-79.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5bd…f03ebacked No3c905.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a29…9ddebacked No4c865.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.541662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ad4…83b8backed No6c858.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa330…1319backed No6c837.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf808…dba3backed No4c811.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid+73.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e3…7f72backed No6c806.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed No5c800$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9615246.1%70 W · 82 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f9…677fbacked No1c800$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No4c787.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.174055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No7c756.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518547.1%40 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0055…8e31backed No3c750$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.49616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.